Hwacheon KSPO vs Suwon FC Women: match prediction on 2 September 2026

Suwon's attacking form is undeniable, but their defensive record in the final quarter suggests vulnerability when matches tighten.

Hwacheon's last five outings produced four draws and one loss, yielding just 4 points from 15 available. They scored 2 goals and conceded 3 across those matches — a pattern of tight, low-scoring affairs. The 1:1 away at Changnyeong on 29 August and the 0:0 home draw with Seoul FC on 21 August illustrate a side content to grind out results rather than chase open play. That single defeat came 0:1 away at Incheon Red Angels on 11 August.

Suwon FC Women have taken 13 points from their last five matches, winning four and drawing once. They have scored 12 goals and conceded 5, with victories including 3:2 away at Gyeongju on 22 August and 3:1 at home against Boeun Sangmu on 14 August. Their scoring distribution shows 25% of goals arriving between 46 and 60 minutes and another 25% after 76 minutes, while 38% of goals conceded come between 61 and 75 minutes.

In six meetings since May 2025, Hwacheon KSPO have won four, drawn twice, and lost none. The most recent encounter on 17 July 2026 ended 0:0 at Suwon's ground, while Hwacheon won 2:1 at home on 21 August 2025. Across all 18 matches recorded, Hwacheon hold 7 wins to Suwon's 5, with 6 draws between them.

The model expects 1.3 goals for Hwacheon and 1.2 for Suwon, with a 27% probability of a draw and 49% that both teams score. The three most likely scorelines are 1:1 at 13%, 1:0 at 11%, and 0:1 at 10%. These figures sit close to each other, suggesting a tight contest where a single moment decides the outcome.

Suwon have historically been most vulnerable in the 61 to 75 minute window, and avoiding a goal in that period would remove the primary opening for Hwacheon to take the lead.