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Incheon Red Angels vs Hwacheon KSPO: match prediction on 2 October 2026

WK-League Namdong Asiad Rugby Field Incheon Hit Match page
Incheon Red Angels Hwacheon KSPO

Prediction for

Win: Hwacheon KSPO

55%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

21% 1
24% X
55% 2

Average bookmaker line (34)

4.39 1
3.79 X
1.64 2

Odds range

1.58 — 1.68

for outcome 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 1 Oct, 11:10

Hwacheon KSPO to win at 1.68. The visitors carry a 25-point advantage over Incheon Red Angels in the table and have gone five matches without defeat, picking up seven points from four draws and one victory. Incheon have failed to win their last five outings, collecting just two points from two draws and three losses while conceding more than twice as many goals as they scored.

Incheon's recent results tell a consistent story. They lost 0:2 away at Suwon FC Women and 0:1 away at Seoul FC, then drew 1:1 at home against Gyeongju and 1:1 away at Changnyeong, before suffering a 1:2 defeat at home to Boeun Sangmu. They struggle to convert chances and are vulnerable on the road. Hwacheon's run reads differently. They drew 1:1 away at Seoul FC FC, then 0:0 away at Seoul FC, followed by a 1:1 draw away at Boeun Sangmu, a 2:0 home win against Suwon FC Women, and a 1:1 draw away at Changnyeong. They are difficult to break down and have only lost three times all season.

Hwacheon sit second with 48 points from 25 matches, while Incheon occupy seventh place with 23 points from 24 matches. The gap is substantial. Hwacheon's record of 13 wins, 9 draws and 3 defeats shows consistency at both ends of the pitch. Incheon's 6 wins, 5 draws and 13 defeats reveal a side that loses far more often than it wins.

Hwacheon won 3:1 at home in May 2025 and again in June 2025, then drew 2:2 away in April 2026. In August 2026 the sides split their fixtures: Incheon won 1:0 at home, but Hwacheon responded with a 2:0 victory away. The most recent encounter was a narrow home win for Incheon, but Hwacheon's superior league position and current form carry more weight than a single result.

Hwacheon to score 1.3 goals while Incheon manage 0.6. The most likely scoreline is 0:1 at 17%, followed by 0:0 at 16% and 1:1 at 13%. Incheon score 33% of their goals in the final 15 minutes and concede 28% in that same period, while Hwacheon have a similar pattern with 33% of their goals coming after the 75th minute. The match is likely to be tight. A draw suits Incheon — and given how they have struggled to finish games, that is the main threat to the away win.

Hwacheon's win looks secure unless Incheon score early. Their 33% of goals coming in the final period suggests they are capable of late surges, and a first-half lead would change the entire dynamic of the fixture.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 1 Oct, 11:10
  • Инчхон Ред Энджелс — 7. place, 23 points after 24 games (6 wins, 5 draws, 13 losses)
  • Хвачхон КСПО — 2. place, 48 points after 25 games (13 wins, 9 draws, 3 losses)
  • Инчхон Ред Энджелс, last 5 games: 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses
  • Хвачхон КСПО, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 draws, 0 losses
  • Head-to-head: 15 games, Инчхон Ред Энджелс — 6, 3 draws, Хвачхон КСПО — 6

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Incheon Red Angels LDLLL 1 draw · 4 losses
Hwacheon KSPO WDDDW 2 wins · 3 draws

Head to head 22

12Incheon Red Angels 4Draw 6Hwacheon KSPO
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

34 bookmakers counted
1.64 Average bookmaker line
1.58 — 1.68 Odds range

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+