Volleyligaen Women
Farum Women
Aalborg Volley Women
Prediction for Farum Women — Aalborg Volley Women
70%
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Indonesia vs Thailand: match prediction on 5 October 2026
Indonesia
Thailand
Prediction for
Slight edge: Indonesia
47%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
47%
1
30%
X
23%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 3 Oct, 14:05- Индонезия — 1. place, 7 points after 3 games (2 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- Таиланд — 1. place, 6 points after 3 games (2 wins, 1 losses)
- Индонезия, last 5 games: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses
- Таиланд, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 1 games, Индонезия — 0, 1 draws, Таиланд — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Indonesia
LDWDW
2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss
Thailand
LDWWL
2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
Head to head 4
0Indonesia
3Draw
1Thailand
- 29 Dec 2022Indonesia — Thailand1:1
- 1 Jan 2022Thailand — Indonesia2:2
- 29 Dec 2021Indonesia — Thailand0:4
- 3 Jun 2021Thailand — Indonesia2:2
Bookmaker market
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 3 Oct, 14:05Indonesia lead Thailand by a single point in the group. Indonesia lead on 7 points from 3 matches, while Thailand hold 6 points with one defeat on their record. The margin is narrow, and the outcome will likely hinge on defensive solidity rather than attacking flair.
Indonesia have shown significant variation in results. They recorded a 9:2 victory against Bangladesh on 1 October but had previously fallen 3:0 to Vietnam on 3 August.
Thailand have been less consistent, losing 2:1 to the Philippines on 2 October after a 2:0 win over Vietnam on 29 September. Thailand have conceded in four of their last five matches, raising questions about their stability.
The history between these sides points to tight contests. The last four meetings have produced three draws and one decisive result. The most recent encounter on 29 December 2022 ended 1:1, while the game before that on 1 January 2022 finished 2:2. The statistical model favours this pattern, calculating a 14% chance for a 1:1 draw, making it the most probable scoreline. The overall probability for a draw sits at 31%, compared with 47% for both teams to score.
A draw is the most likely outcome. Indonesia could still win if they exploit their tendency to score early, with 27% of their goals coming in the first 15 minutes. If Thailand fail to respond and repeat their pattern of conceding 43% of goals in the 61st to 75th minute, Thailand could lose.