Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Juventud vs Deportivo Maldonado: match prediction on 29 August 2026
Juventud
Deportivo Maldonado
Prediction for
Win: Deportivo Maldonado
41%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
33%
1
30%
X
37%
2
Average bookmaker line (43)
2.73
1
3.05
X
2.49
2
Odds range
2.40 — 2.60
for outcome 2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 28 Aug, 11:59- Хувентуд — 14. place, 15 points after 15 games (4 wins, 3 draws, 8 losses)
- Депортиво Мальдонадо — 2. place, 29 points after 15 games (9 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses)
- Хувентуд, last 5 games: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses
- Депортиво Мальдонадо, last 5 games: 1 wins, 3 draws, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 2 games, Хувентуд — 0, 1 draws, Депортиво Мальдонадо — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Juventud
WWWLD
3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss
Deportivo Maldonado
DLWWW
3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss
Head to head 2
0Juventud
1Draw
1Deportivo Maldonado
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
43
bookmakers counted
2.49
Average bookmaker line
2.40 — 2.60
Odds range
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 28 Aug, 11:59Deportivo Maldonado edge this one, though not by much. The visitors are two places above Juventud in the table, but the gap between them has been closing. Both sides have been grinding out results rather than dominating, and Deportivo's superior position comes from consistency over the full season rather than a recent burst of form.
Deportivo Maldonado sit second with 29 points after 15 matches, while Juventud are 14th on 15 points. The recent picture is tighter. Juventud have taken 8 points from their last five games with two wins, two draws and one loss, scoring three and conceding two. Deportivo have managed 6 points from the same span—1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss—with four goals scored and three conceded. Neither side has been particularly explosive recently.
The head-to-head record over the last couple of years gives Juventud some confidence. They have played two matches against Deportivo Maldonado, drawing once and losing once. The most recent meeting on 1 August ended 0:0 at Deportivo's ground, and before that Deportivo won 2:1 in March. Juventud have not lost to Deportivo Maldonado in their last two encounters, which suggests the gap between these sides may be smaller than the table implies.
The model expects Juventud to score 1.0 goal and Deportivo Maldonado 1.2, with a 28% chance of a draw and 46% that both teams find the net. The three most likely scores are 1:1 at 13%, 0:1 at 13%, and 1:0 at 11%. Juventud tend to score heavily in the final 15 minutes—29% of their goals come between the 76th and 90th minute—while Deportivo Maldonado are more spread across the match. Deportivo Maldonado have been vulnerable early on, conceding 21% of their goals in the first 15 minutes.
Deportivo Maldonado win 0:1, holding as long as they maintain their defensive structure and Juve fail to capitalise on their late-game threat. If Juventud score first, the match could easily go to a draw or even a home win, given their recent resilience and the fact they have not lost to Deportivo Maldonado in the last two meetings.