Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Kauno Žalgiris II vs Hegelmann II: match prediction on 29 August 2026
Kauno Žalgiris II
Hegelmann II
Prediction for
Win: Kauno Žalgiris II
44%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
43%
1
26%
X
31%
2
Average bookmaker line (27)
2.06
1
3.49
X
2.87
2
Odds range
1.95 — 2.15
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 28 Aug, 11:59- Каунас Жальгирис II — 15. place, 13 points after 20 games (4 wins, 1 draws, 15 losses)
- Хегельманн II — 12. place, 19 points after 21 games (6 wins, 1 draws, 14 losses)
- Каунас Жальгирис II, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Хегельманн II, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 5 games, Каунас Жальгирис II — 3, Хегельманн II — 2
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Kauno Žalgiris II
WLWWL
3 wins · 2 losses
Hegelmann II
LWLWL
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 5
3Kauno Žalgiris II
0Draw
2Hegelmann II
- 24 AprHegelmann II — Kauno Žalgiris II2:0
- 16 Aug 2025Hegelmann II — Kauno Žalgiris II1:5
- 18 Apr 2025Kauno Žalgiris II — Hegelmann II2:0
- 16 Sep 2024Kauno Žalgiris II — Hegelmann II0:2
- 29 Apr 2024Hegelmann II — Kauno Žalgiris II0:3
Bookmaker market
27
bookmakers counted
2.06
Average bookmaker line
1.95 — 2.15
Odds range
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 28 Aug, 11:59# Kauno Žalgiris II vs Hegelmann II: A Relegation Battle with History on Their Side
Žalgiris II take on Hegelmann II at home on 29 August 2026. Both teams sit in the relegation zone with identical recent form—two wins and three losses in their last five matches—but Žalgiris II carry the weight of historical dominance over this fixture. Žalgiris II are expected to score 1.6 goals and Hegelmann II 1.4, suggesting a tight contest where home advantage could prove decisive.
Žalgiris II occupy 15th place with 13 points from 20 matches, while Hegelmann II sit 12th with 19 points from 21 fixtures. The bottom four teams face relegation, so every point carries weight. Both teams have scored eight goals in their last five outings, but Žalgiris II have been slightly more efficient defensively, conceding 10 goals compared to Hegelmann II's 13. The probability of a draw is 24%, and there is a 60% chance that both teams score, pointing toward an open game with goals at both ends.
Žalgiris II score 38% of their goals between the 61st and 75th minutes, while Hegelmann II distribute their scoring more evenly across the second half with 27% in each of the 46-60 and 61-75 minute periods. Defensively, Žalgiris II are vulnerable early, conceding 38% of their goals in the first 15 minutes. Hegelmann II concede 20% in each of the opening 30 minutes. If Hegelmann II start sharply, they could exploit that weakness before Žalgiris II settle into their preferred attacking window.
Hegelmann II won 3:2 at home against Ekranas Panevėžys on 21 August before losing 1:2 away to B1 NFA on 14 August. Both teams have won two of their last five, but neither has managed a clean sheet in that span. The most recent encounter ended 2:0 to Hegelmann II, marking their first victory over Žalgiris II since 2025. The broader pattern still favours the home side.
My forecast is 2:1, though the most likely scoreline is 1:1 at 11%. The 24% draw probability suggests a tight affair where either result is plausible. If Hegelmann II capitalise on those early defensive vulnerabilities and maintain their recent attacking output, the match could easily finish level or go their way. There is a 58% probability of three or more goals, so a low-scoring draw would contradict the statistical pattern.