I Liga
Prediction for Anilana Lodz — KS Warszawianka
80%
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Prediction for
Slight edge: Measurers
47%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 1
Bookmaker market
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Prediction for Anilana Lodz — KS Warszawianka
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 30 Aug, 08:28Measurers win. The model puts them at 1.7 expected goals against Wari's 1.3, and A 24% draw probability and 59% both-teams-to-score rate point toward a tight contest, but the edge belongs to the hosts.
Measurers sit 16th with 11 points from nine matches, while Wari occupy 20th place on seven. The gap is small but the trajectory matters: Measurers have won two, drawn five and lost two, whereas Wari have managed only one victory. In the last five games Measurers collected five points from a win and two draws; Wari went winless, picking up three draws and losing twice.
The head-to-head record runs to a single meeting. On 22 August 2024 Wari won 2:1 at home, but that result came more than two years ago and the sides have met only once. Measurers' away form this season includes a 1:1 draw at Kalighat Club and a 0:2 loss at Aryan, while their home record shows a 4:1 win over Rainbow and a 2:3 defeat to Mohammedan SC.
Measurers score heavily in the middle and late stages. Thirty-three per cent of their goals come between 31 and 45 minutes, another 33 per cent between 61 and 75. They are quiet in the 46-60 and 76-90 windows. Wari's attack concentrates in the second half as well: 50 per cent of their goals arrive between 61 and 75 minutes, with 33 per cent in the 46-60 period. Defensively Wari have conceded 33 per cent of their goals after 76 minutes, which aligns with Measurers' late scoring tendency.
The model expects 1.7 goals for Measurers and 1.3 for Wari. The three most likely scorelines are 1:1 at 11 per cent, 2:1 at 9 per cent and 1:0 at 9 per cent. A draw suits Wari's approach—they have drawn three of their last five and tend to run the clock down—but the visitors' defensive record makes that outcome less reliable.
The prediction breaks if Wari find an early goal. They have struggled to score in the first half, with only 17 per cent of their goals arriving before 45 minutes, and their away form shows a tendency to collapse under pressure. A first-half lead would shift the dynamic entirely, forcing Measurers to chase and potentially exposing their vulnerability in the closing stages. Without that scenario, the home side's scoring distribution and the model's expectations point to a narrow victory.
Confidence: 47%