Mineros de Zacatecas vs Piratas: match prediction on 25 September 2026

Mineros de Zacatecas defeat Piratas de Acapulco

The home side moved to sixth place with 14 points from nine matches, holding four wins, two draws and three losses. The visitors remained fourth on 15 points, their record standing at four victories, three draws and two defeats.

Odds for a home win shortened from 3.06 to 2.81, a downward swing of 8.2 per cent, while the price for a visitor victory drifted up from 2.08 to 2.33. The model anticipated a narrow contest, projecting 1.5 goals for Mineros and 0.9 for Piratas, with a 12 per cent probability for a 1–0 result.

Statistical comparisons indicated that Piratas generally created more opportunities, averaging 5.75 shots on target per game compared to Mineros’s 5.3. The visitors also recorded more corners, at 5.63 against 3.7, and generated 102.38 attacks versus 84.2 for the home side. Mineros did create more big chances per match (1.89 to 1.75) despite fewer overall shots.

On the disciplinary front, Mineros showed higher aggression with 10.22 fouls per game and an average of 0.6 red cards, compared to 13.13 fouls and 0.38 red cards for Piratas. Several players from both sides carried booking concerns, with O. Masatán, R. Palomares and Brian Eduardo Figueroa Flores each one yellow card away from suspension.

The scoring patterns revealed distinct tendencies for both teams. Mineros de Zacatecas were most dangerous late, scoring 29 per cent of their 31 goals in the 76–90 minute period, while Piratas registered 33 per cent of their 12 goals in the same window. Piratas conceded heavily in the first half, with 60 per cent of their five goals allowed coming between the 31st and 45th minutes.

Performance in the recent five-game run differed between the sides. Mineros produced two wins and three losses, netting five goals and conceding eight. Piratas collected eight points from two wins and two draws, scoring eight goals and conceding five. The result leaves the gap between the two sides at one point.

The model’s probability for a draw stood at 29 per cent, with a 42 per cent chance of three or more goals being scored in total. The most likely outcome according to the projection was a 1–1 draw at 14 per cent, followed by the 1–0 home win at 12 per cent.