MPBL
Bulacan Kuyas
San Juan Knights
Prediction for Bulacan Kuyas — San Juan Knights
67%
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Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 vs BATE II: match prediction on 4 September 2026
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
BATE II
Prediction for
Win: Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
61%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
61%
1
20%
X
19%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 2 Sep, 15:09- Молодечно-ДЮСШ 4 — 5. place, 38 points after 22 games (12 wins, 2 draws, 8 losses)
- БАТЕ II — 17. place, 18 points after 22 games (4 wins, 6 draws, 12 losses)
- Молодечно-ДЮСШ 4, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses
- БАТЕ II, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 3 games, Молодечно-ДЮСШ 4 — 3, БАТЕ II — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
WWWWW
5 wins
BATE II
LWWDL
2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
Head to head 3
3Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0Draw
0BATE II
- 8 MayBATE II — Molodechno-DYuSSh 42:3
- 12 Aug 2024BATE II — Molodechno-DYuSSh 40:1
- 14 Apr 2024Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 — BATE II3:1
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 2 Sep, 15:09Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 win, 68%.
The hosts take three points against a BATE II side that has lost ground and momentum. Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 sit fifth with 38 points, 20 clear of their visitors who languish in 17th place with 18. The gap tells the story of two seasons running in opposite directions.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 have found a way back into it with four wins and a draw in their last five matches, collecting 13 points while conceding just three goals. BATE II have managed only seven points from the same run, winning twice, drawing once and losing twice. Their recent 2:2 home draw against Gomel II followed a 2:1 victory away at Orsha, but those results sit alongside defeats to Smorgon and Bumprom that show inconsistency.
The head-to-head record offers no comfort to BATE II. They have lost all three previous meetings, including a 2:3 defeat at home in May and a 0:1 loss in August 2024. Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 have never dropped points here against this opponent.
The model expects 2.2 goals for the hosts and 1.2 for the visitors. A 2:1 scoreline carries a 10% probability, followed by 1:1 at 9% and 2:0 at 8%. Both teams to score sits at 62%, while over three goals reaches 67%. Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 score 32% of their goals in the final 15 minutes, while BATE II have conceded 19% of theirs in the same period.
A draw suits the visitors — and given how they run the clock down, that is the main threat. BATE II need points to stay alive in the fight, and a result away from home would keep them in touch with the safety zone. If they sit deep and soak it up, the 20% draw probability becomes a real danger.