Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
Read more
Motherwell vs Dundee Utd: match prediction on 2 September 2026
Motherwell
Dundee Utd
Prediction for
Win: Motherwell
50%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
46%
1
26%
X
27%
2
Average bookmaker line (49)
2.01
1
3.56
X
3.43
2
Odds range
1.89 — 2.07
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 31 Aug, 20:02- Мотеруэлл — 6. place, 5 points after 3 games (1 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
- Данди Юнайтед — 8. place, 4 points after 4 games (1 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses)
- Мотеруэлл, last 5 games: 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses
- Данди Юнайтед, last 5 games: 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 11 games, Мотеруэлл — 7, 2 draws, Данди Юнайтед — 2
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Motherwell
LLDWL
1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses
Dundee Utd
LLWLD
1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses
Head to head 18
9Motherwell
4Draw
5Dundee Utd
- 28 FebMotherwell — Dundee Utd2:0
- 13 Dec 2025Dundee Utd — Motherwell0:0
- 29 Oct 2025Motherwell — Dundee Utd2:0
- 22 Feb 2025Dundee Utd — Motherwell1:0
- 14 Dec 2024Motherwell — Dundee Utd4:3
Bookmaker market
49
bookmakers counted
2.01
Average bookmaker line
1.89 — 2.07
Odds range
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 31 Aug, 20:02Motherwell win at 2.01 with 46% confidence. The home side carry a clear psychological edge from the head-to-head record and the model's expectation of a tighter match than the visitors' recent results suggest. Dundee Utd's odds have drifted from 3.53 to 3.43, a 2.8% swing that reflects market caution rather than genuine strength.
Early-season position
Motherwell sit sixth with five points from three matches, undefeated so far. Dundee Utd occupy eighth with four points from four, having lost two of their last three league games. The gap between them is one point, but Motherwell's unbeaten run gives them a margin of safety that Dundee United have not yet found.
Recent form
Both sides have identical records in their last five matches: one win, one draw, three defeats. Motherwell's results include a 3:3 draw at St. Mirren and a 1:4 loss away to SC Freiburg. Dundee Utd's highlights are a 4:0 victory over Kilmarnock and a 0:4 defeat at Celtic. One team can score freely but concedes as well, the other struggles to find consistency in both directions.
Head-to-head dominance
Motherwell have won seven of eleven meetings, with two draws and only two defeats for Dundee Utd. The last encounter on 28 February 2026 ended 2:0 at Fir Park. Dundee United have not won at Motherwell since February 2025, when they took a 1:0 victory. The visitors have drawn once and lost three times in their last five visits.
Model expectations
The model projects 1.6 goals for Motherwell and 1.0 for Dundee Utd. A 25% draw probability sits alongside a 50% chance both teams score. The three most likely scorelines are 1:1 at 12%, 1:0 at 12%, and 2:1 at 9%. Motherwell's attacking distribution shows 24% of goals in the 16-30 minute window, while their defensive weakness emerges between 61-75 minutes at 26% of goals conceded. Dundee United's scoring peaks in the 61-75 period at 32%.
Line movement
Motherwell's odds have moved from 1.94 to 2.01, a 3.3% rise that suggests the market is pricing in their recent poor run. Dundee Utd's drift from 3.53 to 3.43 is smaller in percentage terms but reflects a shift in sentiment. The draw price has barely moved at 3.56.