Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Nõmme Kalju II vs Flora II: match prediction on 10 September 2026
Nõmme Kalju II
Flora II
Prediction for
Win: Flora II
52%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
24%
1
19%
X
56%
2
Average bookmaker line (23)
3.71
1
4.63
X
1.60
2
Odds range
1.51 — 1.68
for outcome 2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 8 Sep, 15:46- Нымме Калю II — 10. place, 22 points after 27 games (6 wins, 4 draws, 17 losses)
- Флора II — 3. place, 44 points after 27 games (13 wins, 5 draws, 9 losses)
- Нымме Калю II, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Флора II, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 7 games, Нымме Калю II — 3, Флора II — 4
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Nõmme Kalju II
LLWLL
1 win · 4 losses
Flora II
WDWLW
3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss
Head to head 7
3Nõmme Kalju II
0Draw
4Flora II
- 10 AugFlora II — Nõmme Kalju II3:0
- 25 JulNõmme Kalju II — Flora II0:5
- 19 MarFlora II — Nõmme Kalju II3:1
- 18 Sep 2025Nõmme Kalju II — Flora II3:0
- 26 Jul 2025Flora II — Nõmme Kalju II1:2
Bookmaker market
23
bookmakers counted
1.60
Average bookmaker line
1.51 — 1.68
Odds range
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 8 Sep, 15:46Flora II win at 1.60 carries 52% confidence. The away side sit 22 points clear in the table, have won four of the last six meetings, and the model puts them ahead on expected goals.
Standards and form
Flora II occupy third place with 44 points from 27 matches, while Nõmme Kalju II languish in tenth with 22 points. The gap between them has not closed. Kalju II's recent run reads one win and four losses across five games, with four goals scored and ten conceded. Their last outing was a 0:1 defeat away to Elva on 6 September. Flora II took seven points from their last five—two wins, one draw, two losses—and have scored ten goals while letting in nine. Their most recent match ended 2:6 away to FCI Levadia II on 4 September.
Head-to-head
Flora II have won four of the last six encounters, Kalju II two. The three most recent meetings all went their way: 3:0 at home on 10 August, 5:0 away on 25 July, and 3:1 at home on 19 March. Kalju II's last victory over them came on 18 September 2025, when they won 3:0 at home.
What the model says
The model expects Kalju II to score 1.5 goals and Flora II 2.2. The most likely scoreline is 1:2 at 9%, followed by 1:1 at 8% and 2:2 at 7%. Draw probability sits at 21%, both teams to score at 69%, and three or more goals at 71%. The line has not moved since opening—Flora II at 1.60, draw at 4.62, Kalju II at 3.72 across 23 bookmakers.
Timing and danger
Kalju II score heavily in the middle periods: 36% of their goals come between 16 and 30 minutes, 32% between 31 and 45. They have not scored at all between 46 and 60 minutes. Flora II distribute their goals more evenly, with 20% in the 31–45 window and 18% between 46 and 60. Both sides are vulnerable late—Kalju II concede 25% of their goals after 76 minutes, Flora II 22% in each of the final two quarters.
When the prediction breaks
A draw suits the visitors given how they manage games, and that is the main threat to the conclusion. If Kalju II score first and hold on, the result shifts. The model does not account for discipline—Kalju II's K. Sarapuu and Flora II's R. Raudsalu and K. Isok have each picked up red cards this season.