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Plzeň U20
Karlovy Vary U20
Prediction for Plzeň U20 — Karlovy Vary U20
50%
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Palmeiras vs LDU Quito: match prediction on 16 September 2026
Palmeiras
LDU Quito
Prediction for
Win: Palmeiras
93%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
93%
1
5%
X
1%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 14 Sep, 23:13- Палмейрас — 2. place, 11 points after 6 games (3 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses)
- ЛДУ Кито — 1. place, 12 points after 6 games (4 wins, 2 losses)
- Палмейрас, last 5 games: 1 wins, 3 draws, 1 losses
- ЛДУ Кито, last 5 games: 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 3 games, Палмейрас — 1, ЛДУ Кито — 2
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Palmeiras
DDLWL
1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses
LDU Quito
DWWDW
3 wins · 2 draws
Head to head 3
1Palmeiras
0Draw
2LDU Quito
- 9 SepLDU Quito — Palmeiras1:0
- 31 Oct 2025Palmeiras — LDU Quito4:0
- 24 Oct 2025LDU Quito — Palmeiras3:0
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 14 Sep, 23:13The model expects 3.3 goals for the hosts against 0.2 for LDU Quito, and the most likely scoreline is 3:0 at 17%. That gap in expected output is the clearest signal available.
Palmeiras have struggled to win
Palmeiras have struggled to win. Their last five matches produced one victory, three draws and one defeat. They took just six points from those games, scoring four and conceding two. Palmeiras' away form has gone cold: three straight 0:0s before the Quito loss.
LDU Quito sit top but have lost twice
They lead the table with 12 points from six matches — four wins, no draws, two defeats. Their last five games yielded three victories, one draw and one loss, with ten points and a 6:3 goal difference. They beat Palmeiras 1:0 at home in the previous Libertadores meeting. The away loss to Guayaquil City 1:2 on 29.08.2026 is the only defeat in that five-match window.
The head-to-head is split
Three matches have been played between these sides. LDU Quito won two, Palmeiras one. The first meeting of the series saw Palmeiras win 4:0 at home on 31.10.2025, while LDU Quito completed the sweep with a 3:0 home victory on 24.10.2025.
The model favours a one-sided affair
A 5% draw probability and 20% both teams to score leave little room for uncertainty. Sixty-nine percent of simulations produce three or more goals. The three most probable outcomes are 3:0 (17%), 2:0 (16%) and 4:0 (15%). Palmeiras average 4.8 shots on target per match compared to LDU Quito's 2.3, and their expected goal output is more than sixteen times higher.
65% confidence in a Palmeiras win. The visitors need to close the gap.