Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice: match prediction on 14 September 2026
Radomiak Radom
Piast Gliwice
Prediction for
Win: Piast Gliwice
38%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
34%
1
28%
X
38%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 12 Sep, 18:13- Радомиак Радом — 12. place, 8 points after 7 games (2 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses)
- Пиаст Гливице — 6. place, 10 points after 7 games (3 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses)
- Радомиак Радом, last 5 games: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses
- Пиаст Гливице, last 5 games: 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 8 games, Радомиак Радом — 3, 3 draws, Пиаст Гливице — 2
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Radomiak Radom
LDWWD
2 wins · 2 draws · 1 loss
Piast Gliwice
LDWWW
3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss
Head to head 10
3Radomiak Radom
5Draw
2Piast Gliwice
- 20 MarPiast Gliwice — Radomiak Radom3:1
- 20 Sep 2025Radomiak Radom — Piast Gliwice1:0
- 4 May 2025Piast Gliwice — Radomiak Radom0:0
- 3 Nov 2024Radomiak Radom — Piast Gliwice1:1
- 8 Mar 2024Piast Gliwice — Radomiak Radom2:3
Bookmaker market
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 12 Sep, 18:13A draw looks the most probable result, with the model placing the probability at 28% and expected goals level at 1.2 for each side. This conclusion rests on the balance of recent encounters and the symmetry in attacking output, both teams averaging similar chances created but struggling to convert them consistently.
Radomiak have taken 8 points from their last 5 games, winning twice and drawing twice, though they conceded 6 goals while scoring only 3. The visitors sit 6th with 10 points, 2 clear of the hosts who occupy 12th place.
The head-to-head record tells a story of close contests. In 8 meetings, each side has claimed 3 victories with 3 draws separating them. The most recent meeting ended 3-1 to Piast in March, while Radomiak won 1-0 at home last September. Two of the last four matches finished level, suggesting neither side can claim decisive dominance.
Piast's attacking pattern shows particular danger in the final 15 minutes, with 47% of their 36 goals coming after the 75th minute. Radomiak's distribution is more even across the match, though they concede heavily in the middle periods, with 22% of their 36 goals against arriving between 46-60 and 61-75 minutes. The model's 49% probability for both teams to score aligns with this vulnerability.
The prediction stops holding if Piast maintain their late-game dominance from the start, or if Radomiak replicate their home win against Cracovia with a sharper first half. A draw suits both sides in terms of points accumulation, with the visitors needing only to avoid defeat to maintain their top-six position.
Outcome: Draw
Radomiak and Piast meet on 14 September with the model suggesting a 1-1 scoreline as the most likely result at 13% probability. The visitors' superior recent form is offset by the hosts' home advantage and the evenly matched expected goals figures. Piast's 47% of goals arriving after the 75th minute creates a specific vulnerability if Radomiak can weather the opening periods.