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San Jose Earthquakes II vs Real Monarchs: match prediction on 14 September 2026

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San Jose Earthquakes II Real Monarchs

Prediction for

Win: San Jose Earthquakes II

60%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

60% 1
20% X
20% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 12 Sep, 00:13

San Jose Earthquakes II defeated Real Monarchs 2-1. The final scoreline confirms a victory for San Jose Earthquakes II, ending a run of poor form and extending their unbeaten streak against their opponents to two matches. Real Monarchs, who sit six points behind their hosts in the standings, failed to secure the result needed to close the gap.

Real Monarchs recorded 53 per cent of the possession and averaged 4.9 shots on target a game over their last ten, yet they could not convert that dominance into goals. San Jose Earthquakes II, meanwhile, relied on their typical pattern of scoring late in games, with 42 per cent of their total goals coming in the final 15 minutes of matches. This trait proved decisive, as Real Monarchs' defensive fragility in the closing stages, where they concede 38 per cent of their goals, was exploited.

San Jose Earthquakes II had won three of the last ten meetings, while Real Monarchs had claimed three victories, with four draws. In the two most recent fixtures, San Jose Earthquakes II had remained unbeaten, including a 3-0 victory earlier in the current season. The result maintains the hosts' advantage in the rivalry, moving them further ahead of the visitors who have lost four of their last five outings.

San Jose Earthquakes II move up to fifth place with 36 points from 26 matches, solidifying their position ahead of Real Monarchs. Real Monarchs remain in sixth place on 29 points from 25 matches, having lost 14 games. The seven-point separation means Real Monarchs must now win their remaining fixtures to have any chance of overtaking their opponents in the race for playoff positioning.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 12 Sep, 00:13
  • Сан-Хосе Эртквейкс II — 10. place, 36 points after 26 games (12 wins, 14 losses)
  • Риал Монркс — 11. place, 29 points after 25 games (11 wins, 14 losses)
  • Сан-Хосе Эртквейкс II, last 5 games: 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses
  • Риал Монркс, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Head-to-head: 10 games, Сан-Хосе Эртквейкс II — 3, 4 draws, Риал Монркс — 3

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

San Jose Earthquakes II WLLWW 3 wins · 2 losses
Real Monarchs WLLDW 2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

Head to head 13

5San Jose Earthquakes II 5Draw 3Real Monarchs
All head-to-head

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+