Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Sardarapat vs Pyunik Yerevan: match prediction on 9 September 2026
Sardarapat
Pyunik Yerevan
Prediction for
Win: Pyunik Yerevan
64%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
15%
1
22%
X
64%
2
Average bookmaker line (41)
6.21
1
4.15
X
1.42
2
Odds range
1.35 — 1.46
for outcome 2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 7 Sep, 13:03- Средняя линия 41 букмекеров: победа Пюник Ереван 1.42, ничья 4.15, победа Сардарапат 6.21
- Конторы расходятся в оценке: от 1.35 до 1.46 (8%)
- Сардарапат — 6. place, 10 points after 5 games (3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses)
- Пюник Ереван — 4. place, 11 points after 5 games (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
- Сардарапат, last 5 games: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses
- Пюник Ереван, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Sardarapat
DDWLL
1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses
Pyunik Yerevan
WWWDW
4 wins · 1 draw
Bookmaker market
41
bookmakers counted
1.42
Average bookmaker line
1.35 — 1.46
Odds range
More predictions
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 7 Sep, 13:03Pyunik Yerevan to win at 1.42
Pyunik Yerevan are favourites at 1.42 across 41 bookmakers, a price that reflects their unbeaten start to the campaign and the margin-removed probability of 64%.
The visitors have been more consistent in results. Their last five matches produced three victories and two draws, including a 2-0 win away at Ararat and a 3-0 home victory over Van. Sardarapat's form has been less reliable: two wins, two draws and one defeat, with that loss coming 0-2 away at Shirak on 6 September. Pyunik Yerevan have been more prolific, netting 24 goals with 29% in the first half and 25% in the 61st-75th period.
Defensively the visitors have been harder to break down. Pyunik Yerevan have conceded 12 goals in ten matches, with half of them coming in the final 15 minutes of matches. Sardarapat have let in 11 goals in six games, and 64% of those arrived after the 75th minute. The hosts have not conceded between the 61st and 75th minute, which is a narrow window that offers little protection for the rest of the match.
The model expects 1.1 goals for Sardarapat and 1.2 for Pyunik Yerevan, with a 29% probability of a draw and 46% chance both teams score. The three most likely scorelines are 1-1 at 13%, 0-1 at 12% and 1-0 at 11%. These figures suggest a tight contest, but the visitors' edge in their unbeaten run and their ability to control matches makes them the safer option. The market's 64% probability for a Pyunik win aligns with the model's preference for the visitors, even if the expected goals are nearly level.
The conclusion stops holding if the visitors cannot impose their possession game, which has been their pattern in away fixtures. Pyunik Yerevan average 56% possession across ten matches compared to Sardarapat's 44%, but they drew 0-0 away at Syunik and 2-2 away at Banants Yerevan in their last two road games. If the hosts can disrupt their rhythm early, the match could drift into a stalemate that benefits the underdog. A draw suits Sardarapat's defensive profile, and given how they have managed late-game situations, that is the main threat to the prediction.