Soroksar vs Csakvar: match prediction on 30 August 2026

Soroksar are the clear favourites for Saturday's NB II clash. They sit top of the table with 13 points from five matches, while their opponents Csakvar languish in 13th place with just three points. The gulf in form is stark, and the home advantage tips the balance further.

The visitors have lost four of their last five league games, conceding 10 goals while scoring only six. Their most recent outing ended 0-2 at home against Kazincbarcikai, and before that they lost 3-2 away at Szentlőrinc SE. Only one victory in that span — a 2-0 win over Kozármisleny FC on 9 August — breaks the pattern of defeat. Soroksar, by contrast, have won four and drawn once, taking 13 points from the same number of fixtures. Their last match was a 3-2 home victory over Szentlőrinc SE on 23 August.

Csakvar's goal distribution reveals a team that starts bright but fades. They have scored 45% of their 20 goals in the opening 15 minutes, yet only 5% in the period from 31 to 45 minutes. That pattern suggests they come out hard but lack stamina or structure when the match settles. Soroksar's defence has conceded 23% of their 18 goals in both the 31-45 and 76-90 minute windows, which could be a vulnerability if the visitors maintain their early intensity.

The head-to-head record over the past three seasons favours Soroksar, who have won four of seven meetings, while Csakvar have claimed two victories and one match ended level. The most recent encounter on 10 May 2026 saw Csakvar edge through 1-0 at home, but that result came against a Soroksar side that was already mid-season and likely rotated. The fixture on 23 November 2025 went the other way, with Soroksar losing 0-1 away. Since then, Soroksar have won three of the last four meetings.

The model points to a narrow home win

The statistical model expects Soroksar to score 1.8 goals and Csakvar 1.2, with a 23% probability of a draw and a 60% chance both teams find the net. The most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 11%, followed closely by 2-1 to Soroksar at 10%. A 1-0 victory is also in the mix at 8%. The model suggests Soroksar win this match. That confidence rests on their superior form, their home record, and the fact that Csakvar have lost four of five games while conceding more than they score.

A draw would suit the visitors if they can run the clock down and survive the opening period. Csakvar's tendency to score early gives them a chance to steal momentum, but their inability to sustain pressure after the first quarter of an hour works against them. If they fail to score in the first 15 minutes, the match likely slips away. A red card or an early injury to a key Soroksar attacker would change everything.