ELJ
Prediction for Plzeň U20 — Karlovy Vary U20
50%
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Toulouse
Prediction for
Win: Stade Brestois 29
40%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Average bookmaker line (44)
Odds range
2.38 — 2.77
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 8
Bookmaker market
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 28 Aug, 11:59Brest 2.63, because they started the season with more composure and Toulouse's opening defeat exposed defensive vulnerabilities that Brest can exploit at home.
Brest drew 2:2 with Le Mans in their Ligue 1 opener, showing they can compete even when results don't go their way. Their five pre-season matches produced 9 goals scored and 10 conceded across 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss. They scored 24% of their goals in the first 15 minutes and another 17% in the final quarter. Toulouse lost 0:2 to Lyon at home, their only competitive game so far, and their last five matches show 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses with 6 goals scored and 7 conceded.
The market sees no clear favourite, offering 2.63 for both teams and 3.36 for a draw. Odds have not moved since opening. The implied probabilities show 36% for each team to win and 28% for a draw.
Brest are expected to score 1.5 goals and Toulouse 1.4, with a 25% chance of a draw and 59% that both teams find the net. The most likely scoreline is 1:1 at 12%, followed by 2:1 at 9%. If Toulouse score first and play for a draw, the home side's advantage diminishes considerably.