Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Tigre vs Barracas Central: match prediction on 1 September 2026
Tigre
Barracas Central
Prediction for
Win: Tigre
46%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
51%
1
31%
X
19%
2
Average bookmaker line (34)
1.85
1
3.04
X
4.98
2
Odds range
1.75 — 1.96
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 30 Aug, 01:18- Тигре — 10. place, 20 points after 16 games (4 wins, 8 draws, 4 losses)
- Баррасас Сентрал — 9. place, 21 points after 16 games (5 wins, 6 draws, 5 losses)
- Тигре, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
- Баррасас Сентрал, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Head-to-head: 5 games, Тигре — 0, 2 draws, Баррасас Сентрал — 3
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Tigre
DLWDL
1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses
Barracas Central
LLLDD
2 draws · 3 losses
Head to head 8
2Tigre
3Draw
3Barracas Central
- 25 FebBarracas Central — Tigre2:1
- 20 Oct 2025Tigre — Barracas Central2:2
- 12 Apr 2025Barracas Central — Tigre1:0
- 2 Dec 2024Barracas Central — Tigre0:0
- 17 Jul 2023Tigre — Barracas Central0:1
Bookmaker market
34
bookmakers counted
1.85
Average bookmaker line
1.75 — 1.96
Odds range
More predictions
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 30 Aug, 01:18Tigre are favourites at 1.840 and the model backs them for a win with 65% confidence. The home side have won four of sixteen, drawn eight and lost four, while Barracas Central sit one point above them on five wins, six draws and five defeats. The margin between them is narrow, but the recent run tells a different story.
Tigre collected seven points from their last five games — two victories, a draw and two losses — scoring four goals and conceding four. Their most recent outing was a 2:1 home win over Central Cordoba de Santiago on 24 August. Before that came a 1:2 defeat to Atletico Torque in the Sudamericana and a 1:0 victory against River Plate. Their 1:0 victory against River Plate demonstrated their ability to take points when it matters.
Barracas Central managed only three points from five matches, winning once and losing four times. They beat Deportivo Riestra 1:0 away on 2 August, then lost 0:2 to Gimnasia La Plata. The side has struggled to find rhythm and their attacking output has dried up.
The head-to-head record favours the visitors. In five meetings since June 2022, Barracas Central won three, drew twice and Tigre failed to win a single game. The most recent encounter ended 2:1 to Barracas Central in February 2026. History favours Barracas, form points the other way.
The model expects Tigre to score 1.1 goals and Barracas Central 0.7. The most likely scoreline is 1:0 at 19%, followed by 0:0 at 17% and 1:1 at 13%. The draw probability sits at 32% and both teams to score at 33%. The line has not moved since opening — 1.840 for Tigre, 3.060 for a draw, 4.980 for Barracas Central across 33 bookmakers.
Tigre concede heavily in the middle periods. Of their 27 goals against, 26% come between 46 and 60 minutes and 22% between 61 and 75. Barracas Central have conceded 38% of their 29 goals in the final 15 minutes, with none in the 61st to 75th minute.