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Toluca vs Santos Laguna: match prediction on 21 September 2026
Toluca
Santos Laguna
Prediction for
Win: Toluca
74%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
76%
1
14%
X
9%
2
Average bookmaker line (48)
1.22
1
6.45
X
9.79
2
Odds range
1.18 — 1.25
for outcome 1
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 19 Sep, 01:04- Толука — 1. place, 19 points after 8 games (6 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses)
- Сантос Лагуна — 17. place, 4 points after 8 games (1 wins, 1 draws, 6 losses)
- Толука, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
- Сантос Лагуна, last 5 games: 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 9 games, Толука — 7, Сантос Лагуна — 2
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Toluca
WWWWL
4 wins · 1 loss
Santos Laguna
LDLWW
2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
Head to head 14
9Toluca
1Draw
4Santos Laguna
- 15 JanToluca — Santos Laguna3:1
- 17 Jul 2025Santos Laguna — Toluca2:4
- 7 Apr 2025Toluca — Santos Laguna2:1
- 23 Sep 2024Santos Laguna — Toluca2:0
- 22 Feb 2024Toluca — Santos Laguna1:0
Bookmaker market
48
bookmakers counted
1.22
Average bookmaker line
1.18 — 1.25
Odds range
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 19 Sep, 01:04Result unavailable
Toluca host Santos Laguna on 21 September 2026.
The data indicates that Toluca entered the fixture in first place with 19 points from eight matches, while Santos Laguna sat in 17th place with only 4 points. Pre-match statistics showed Toluca’s strong home form, having won their previous five games and scoring 14 goals while conceding just two. Santos Laguna’s recent record was significantly weaker, with one win, one draw, and three losses in their prior five outings.
Betting markets reflected this disparity, with Toluca priced at 1.22 for victory and Santos Laguna at 9.80. The model predicted an average of 2.3 goals for Toluca and 0.7 for Santos. However, without the actual match report or post-match statistics, no facts can be stated regarding the final result or performance.