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Zvijezda Gradačac vs Radnik Hadžići: match prediction on 29 August 2026

1st League - FBiH Stadion Banja Ilidža Gradačac Hit Match page
Zvijezda Gradačac Radnik Hadžići

Prediction for

Win: Zvijezda Gradačac

46%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

39% 1
28% X
33% 2

Average bookmaker line (18)

2.31 1
3.21 X
2.69 2

Odds range

2.22 — 2.36

for outcome 1

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 28 Aug, 12:03

The service's prediction is a Zvijezda Gradačac win at 46% confidence. This looks reasonable given the home advantage and the model's expected goals of 1.3 to 0.9 in favour of the hosts. The visitors sit higher in the table with four points from two games, but their recent record shows a tendency to grind out results rather than dominate them.

Current form

Zvijezda have lost both opening matches of the season, conceding two goals without reply against Posušje and TOŠK Tešanj. Their last five games include two victories, one draw and two defeats, with 13 goals scored and five conceded. The heavy 6:2 home win against TOŠK Tešanj in June 2025 suggests they can be dangerous when clicking, but those two recent defeats show vulnerability.

Radnik Hadžići have been more consistent, picking up a win and a draw from their first two fixtures. Their last five matches produced one victory, three draws and one loss, with six goals for and five against. That pattern of draws — three in five — indicates a team comfortable with sharing points rather than chasing wins.

Historical edge

Head-to-head records favour Zvijezda Gradačac. In six meetings over recent years, they have won four times while Radnik have claimed two victories. The most recent encounter ended 1:0 to Radnik in April 2025, but Zvijezda won 2:0 at home in October 2024 and 2:1 in May 2024. The pattern shows the hosts typically perform better on their own ground against this opponent.

Model points toward narrow home result

The statistical model expects Zvijezda to score 1.3 goals while Radnik manage 0.9. A 28% probability for a draw and 45% for both teams scoring suggest a tight contest. The most likely scores are 1:0 at 14%, 1:1 at 13% and 0:0 at 10%. These numbers align with the service's home win prediction, though the margin is slim.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 28 Aug, 12:03
  • Звезда Градацац — 14. place, 0 points after 2 games (0 wins, 2 losses)
  • Радник Хаджичи — 6. place, 4 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
  • Звезда Градацац, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
  • Радник Хаджичи, last 5 games: 1 wins, 3 draws, 1 losses
  • Head-to-head: 6 games, Звезда Градацац — 4, Радник Хаджичи — 2

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Zvijezda Gradačac WLLWL 2 wins · 3 losses
Radnik Hadžići DDWLL 1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses

Head to head 10

6Zvijezda Gradačac 1Draw 3Radnik Hadžići
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

18 bookmakers counted
2.31 Average bookmaker line
2.22 — 2.36 Odds range

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+