Olimpia Milano Dubai 80 93 5′ London Lions Fraport Skyliners 64 70 5′ Valencia Maccabi Tel Aviv 85 91 10′ Real Madrid Lyon-Villeurbanne 71 65 8′ Grizzly Wolfsburg Krefeld Pinguine 2 1 Timrå HV71 2 1 1′ Matches →

Aargau Ost Women vs Amicitia Zürich Women: match prediction on 1 September 2026

Spar Premium League Women Sporthalle Aue Baden Hit Match page
Aargau Ost Women Amicitia Zürich Women

Prediction for

Win: Amicitia Zürich Women

69%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

31% 1
69% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 30 Aug, 19:13

Amicitia Zürich Women are the clear favourites for this encounter. The expected goals figures—32.6 for the visitors against 25 for the hosts—point to a comfortable margin, and the 0% draw probability removes any uncertainty from the equation. An away victory is the predicted outcome.

The visitors have been the more consistent side over their last five matches. Three wins and two defeats yield 9 points, with a positive goal difference of 132 for and 123 against. Aargau Ost have managed only 7 points from the same number of games, and their goal tally tells a different story: 149 scored against 165 conceded. The visitors are not just winning more often; they are also conceding fewer goals relative to what they are producing.

The head-to-head record is evenly split at one win apiece, but the context matters. The most recent meeting on 12 November 2025 ended 44:26 in Amicitia's favour at their own ground. The earlier fixture on 13 September 2025 saw Aargau respond with a 49:30 victory, but that was also played at Amicitia's stadium. Both matches were high-scoring affairs, and the model's expectation of 57.6 combined goals aligns with that pattern.

The table positions suggest Amicitia have been the stronger side throughout the season. They sit third while Aargau occupy sixth, though both entries show zero matches played and zero points—a reflection of the data's current state rather than a statement on form. What matters is the trajectory: Amicitia's recent results show they can close out games, while Aargau's two defeats came in away fixtures against SPONO and Stans.

The model's confidence is not stated as a percentage, but the figures speak for themselves. A 7.6-goal gap in expected output is substantial, and the 0% probability for a draw or both teams scoring removes the usual variables that could upset a prediction. A draw would be the scenario that breaks this prediction, but the model assigns that zero chance.

Amicitia Zürich Women win. The confidence comes from the model's expected goals figures, the visitors' superior recent form, and the positive goal difference they have maintained over their last five matches.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 30 Aug, 19:13
  • Ааргау Ост Женщины, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
  • Амичитция Цюрих, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 2 games, Ааргау Ост Женщины — 1, Амичитция Цюрих — 1

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Aargau Ost Women LLLDL 1 draw · 4 losses
Amicitia Zürich Women WWLLD 2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

Head to head 2

1Aargau Ost Women 0Draw 1Amicitia Zürich Women
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

More predictions

All match predictions

Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+