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Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Prediction for
Win: Onnereds Women
95%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 10 Sep, 15:08Onnereds Women to Win
Onnereds Women sit top of the Swedish Cup table with six points from three matches, a perfect record of three wins and no defeats, while Alingsås HK Women trail in third place with just two points from one victory and two draws.
Onnereds have won four of their last five matches, losing only once to Skara Women in May. Alingsås HK have taken more from their recent games — three victories, one draw, one loss — but their goal difference tells a different story. They have scored 150 goals while conceding 130, compared to Onnereds' 142 for and 117 against. Both sides are scoring freely, but Onnereds have been tighter at the back.
Recent match scores highlight the disparity: Onnereds defeated Kungsbacka 32-18 and IFK Kristianstad 28-20, while Alingsås HK narrowly lost to Lugi HF 24-26 and drew with Ystads IF 25-25. The draw probability sits at 0%.
Onnereds have not lost a cup match this season. Alingsås HK have drawn twice without a defeat, but draws do not advance anyone. The visitors need to win, and Onnereds' home record and defensive record make it likely.