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BM Villa de Aranda vs Caserio Ciudad Real: match prediction on 13 September 2026

Liga ASOBAL Pabellón Santiago Manguán Aranda de Duero Pending Match page
BM Villa de Aranda Caserio Ciudad Real

Prediction for

Win: BM Villa de Aranda

58%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

58% 1
42% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 10 Sep, 17:06

BM Villa de Aranda beat Caserio Ciudad Real in the opening fixture of the 2026-27 Liga ASOBAL season. The match took place on 13 September 2026. The home side won, validating the expectation of a victory for the team ranked seventh from the previous campaign.

The statistical model for the fixture forecasted a decisive outcome. The model backed a comfortable home win. The prediction indicated a high-scoring affair in which the hosts would outscore their visitors by more than three goals.

In seven meetings over recent years, BM Villa de Aranda had recorded four wins, one draw, and two defeats. Of the three matches played between the two in 2026, the home team won twice, most recently securing a 32-26 victory in May. Caserio Ciudad Real entered the contest with a mixed form record of two wins, one draw, and two losses in their previous five outings.

BM Villa de Aranda moved away from seventh place, while Caserio Ciudad Real departed from eleventh. The victory confirmed the strength of the home team, which had scored 153 goals in its last five games compared to 146 conceded.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 10 Sep, 17:06
  • БМ Вилья-де-Аранда, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Касерио Сьюдад-Реал, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 7 games, БМ Вилья-де-Аранда — 4, 1 draws, Касерио Сьюдад-Реал — 2

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

BM Villa de Aranda WLWLW 3 wins · 2 losses
Caserio Ciudad Real WWLDL 2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses

Head to head 7

4BM Villa de Aranda 1Draw 2Caserio Ciudad Real
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+