Gorenje vs Ajdovscina: match preview on 5 September 2026

Gorenje and Ajdovscina meet on 5 September with both sides seeking their first league victory, and a draw is the most likely outcome given the defensive frailties on show from both teams.

Gorenje have not won any of their five most recent matches, collecting just a single point from four defeats and one draw. They have conceded 151 goals in that span, averaging 30.2 per game, at home or away, the defence is porous. The most recent outing was a 23:28 loss to RK Krka on 2 September, and before that they dropped points in a 28:28 draw with Loka. Their attack has struggled to match the volume of goals they let in.

Ajdovscina have played only one match this season and that ended in a 27:34 home defeat to Slovan on 2 September. They have conceded 34 goals in a single game and have yet to find the back of the net in a way that secures points. The pattern mirrors Gorenje's - a side that allows goals freely and has not yet established defensive control.

Both sit in the bottom half, neither showing an edge. Gorenje sit on one point from five games; Ajdovscina have none from one.

The numbers point to a draw as the most probable result, with both teams likely to trade goals in a high-scoring affair. Both sides average over 28 goals per game; expect a high-scoring draw.

The probability sits at 60%. The 60% probability reflects their defensive vulnerabilities, not tactical balance.