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Gummersbach vs MT Melsungen: match prediction on 5 September 2026

Bundesliga Schwalbe-Arena Gummersbach Miss Match page
Gummersbach MT Melsungen

Prediction for

Win: Gummersbach

65%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

65% 1
35% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 3 Sep, 19:09

Gummersbach and MT Melsungen share points in opening round

Gummersbach and MT Melsungen played out a 31:31 draw in the Bundesliga on 5 September 2026. The result secured the second point for both sides, who had met in an identical scoreline earlier in the calendar year.

Gummersbach and MT Melsungen drew 31-31 in the Bundesliga, both sides taking a second point.

Over ten matches in recent years, each side recorded five victories. Since the start of the 2025-26 season, the teams had met six times. Gummersbach claimed three wins, one draw, and two losses. The previous encounter between the pair on 13 March 2026 ended 24:31 in favour of the home side.

Gummersbach had won their first game 31:26 away to Rhein-Neckar Löwen before losing 31:33 to SC Magdeburg. MT Melsungen secured a 31:18 victory over Goppingen in their opener, followed by a 31:33 defeat to Fuchse Berlin.

The statistical model predicting the match had forecast a score of 30.5 to 25. It estimated a zero per cent probability for a draw. The final outcome contradicted these projections.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 3 Sep, 19:09
  • Гуммерсбах — 10. place, 2 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
  • МТ Мельзунген — 9. place, 2 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
  • Гуммерсбах, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
  • МТ Мельзунген, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Head-to-head: 10 games, Гуммерсбах — 5, МТ Мельзунген — 5

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Gummersbach LDLWD 1 win · 2 draws · 2 losses
MT Melsungen WLWDW 3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss

Head to head 10

5Gummersbach 0Draw 5MT Melsungen
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+