Gyor vs Ferencváros: match prediction on 11 September 2026

Ferencváros are the clear favourites here. They sit fourth with two points from one match, while Gyor are twelfth with none after two games. The model puts Ferencváros win probability at 53%, and the recent head-to-head backs that up: four victories in four meetings, all by narrow margins.

Recent form

Looking at the last five matches, Ferencváros have won three and lost two, scoring 170 points while conceding 162. Gyor have managed two wins and three losses in the same period, with 139 points for and 167 against. The defensive record matters here: Ferencváros have been tighter, conceding fewer points per game on average.

Head-to-head history

The last four meetings all went to Ferencváros. The scores read 32:34, 33:32, 37:35 and 41:39. Each time Ferencváros edged through, often by a single point. This is not a pattern that suggests Gyor have found a way to contain them. The visitors have stretched the defence consistently when these two meet.

Model expectations

The model expects 30.4 points for Gyor and 31.7 for Ferencváros. Those figures suggest a high-scoring affair with Ferencváros likely to edge it.

Ferencváros lose their edge if Gyor find a way to control the tempo and limit Ferencváros to fewer than 30 points. A draw suits neither side given the current standings, but if the visitors struggle to convert their chances, the result could swing. Ferencváros will need to maintain their defensive discipline — conceding more than 30 points in a match would change the picture entirely.