Hallby Women vs H 65 Höör Women: match prediction on 6 September 2026

H 65 Höör Women to win or draw — and advance on aggregate

The return leg on 6 September gives H 65 Höör the easiest path in the Swedish Cup. They won the first meeting 34:26 at home, and a single goal margin is enough to see them through. Hallby must win by more than eight goals to overturn the deficit, and their recent record offers little comfort.

Hallby have lost four of their last five matches, scoring 130 goals and conceding 137. Their only victory in that span came against Hammarby IF at home, 34:19, but even that result came against a side Höör themselves beat 34:28 on the same day. Höör have won four of five, including the first leg against Hallby, and their goal difference of +20 over the same period speaks for itself.

Höör lead by eight goals. A draw keeps them in the tie, and a narrow home victory does the same. Hallby need to score at least nine more goals than they concede — a tall order when the model expects them to net 25.8 goals while Höör are projected to score 29.1. The visitors have already shown they can attack, averaging 33.2 goals per game in their five most recent fixtures.

Höör have won eight of ten meetings between the sides. The most recent was the 34:26 first-leg victory, but even the closest result — a 40:39 Swedish Cup win in March 2025 — went to Höör. Hallby's two victories came in 2026 and 2024, both by single digits, and neither involved this particular opponent in the same competition context.

The conclusion stops holding if Hallby win by nine or more goals. That would require them to outscore Höör by a margin significantly larger than the model's expected difference of 3.3 goals, and larger than any of their previous victories over Höör. A red card to a Höör defender, or a sudden shift in momentum after the break, could create the conditions — but neither is indicated by the data supplied.

I’d back them at 65 per cent confidence. The aggregate lead, combined with Höör's superior form and H2H record, supports a narrow win for the visitors. The model's goal projection aligns with this: Höör are expected to score more, and Hallby need to overperform significantly to change the outcome.

A draw suits the visitors — and given how they run the clock down, that is the main threat. Hallby will have to attack, which opens space for Höör's transition game. The first-leg result sets the tone, and it favours the visitors in every scenario except one.