Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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HBW Balingen-Weilstetten
SC Magdeburg
Prediction for
Win: SC Magdeburg
95%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 3
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 4 Sep, 17:01SC Magdeburg to win. The visitors have dominated this fixture in recent years and carry a higher ceiling in attack, while HBW Balingen-Weilstetten's home advantage is outweighed by the gap in class shown across three meetings.
HBW Balingen-Weilstetten enter this match on a perfect run. They have won all five of their last matches, scoring 172 goals and conceding 130 across that span. Their form includes victories over ThSV Eisenach 36:27 and Hamburg 30:26 in the Bundesliga this month, plus a 38:31 DHB-Pokal win away at Grosswallstadt TV. They sit level on points with Magdeburg after two Bundesliga rounds, though the table places them fifth rather than fourth despite identical records of two wins from two games.
SC Magdeburg arrive with four wins from five, their only setback coming 32:33 away at Flensburg-Handewitt in a friendly in August. They beat Fuchse Berlin 36:32 at home, edged Gummersbach 33:31 away, and took the Super Cup from Berlin 38:31. They have netted 179 goals while letting in 157, a slightly wider margin than HBW but one that reflects the higher level of opposition they have faced.
HBW have yet to claim a point in the head-to-head, a record that sits heavily against them despite their current unbeaten start to the season. The visitors have consistently outscored their opponents by double-digit margins in these encounters.
Both teams sit on four points after two matches, but the context differs. HBW appear to have been promoted from the 2. Bundesliga, evidenced by their results against Bietigheim and Dessauer-Rosslauer in the second tier during May and June. Magdeburg have already competed in the Champions League, losing to Aalborg Håndbold 26:32 in June, and lifted the Super Cup. That experience gap matters when the intensity rises.
A draw suits the visitors in terms of the table, and given how they manage tempo, that remains the main threat to the away win.