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Koscian vs Gryfino: match prediction on 13 September 2026

Koscian Gryfino

Prediction for

Win: Koscian

55%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

55% 1
45% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 11 Sep, 15:00

Koscian secure victory over Gryfino in I Liga

The result confirmed the outcome anticipated by our internal model, which projected a home win with 55 per cent confidence. The prediction aligned with the historical record, as Koscian had won the previous meeting between the sides on 4 October 2025. Our service forecasted a scoreline of 33 goals for Koscian against 30.9 for Gryfino.

Form heading into the fixture favoured the hosts. Koscian had recorded two wins and three losses in their last five matches, accumulating six points and scoring 166 goals while conceding 170. Gryfino held a less stable recent run, with one win and four defeats in their last five games, yielding three points and a goal difference of 146 scored to 165 conceded. The visitors had not won a match in that five-game stretch.

The statistical profile of both teams indicated a contest with high scoring potential, though the model assigned a zero per cent probability for either a draw or both sides scoring, as well as for a match featuring three or more goals. These figures suggest a decisive result was the expected norm.

Koscian extended their advantage over Gryfino in their recent history, where they have secured one victory in a single meeting. The result leaves the hosts with momentum from their two wins in the last five games. For Gryfino, the match added to a difficult period characterized by four losses in their last five appearances. The outcome reinforces the disparity in form between the two sides at this stage of the season.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 11 Sep, 15:00
  • Кощан, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Грыфино, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Head-to-head: 1 games, Кощан — 1, Грыфино — 0

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Koscian WLLWL 2 wins · 3 losses
Gryfino LLLWL 1 win · 4 losses

Head to head 1

1Koscian 0Draw 0Gryfino
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+