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Krasnodar Women vs Rostov-Don Women: match prediction on 14 September 2026

Super League Women Olympus Arena Krasnodar Pending Match page
Krasnodar Women Rostov-Don Women

Prediction for

Win: Rostov-Don Women

66%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

34% 1
66% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 12 Sep, 17:13

Rostov-Don are expected to win. The head-to-head record and model expectations point in one direction: six straight victories for the visitors since December 2025, a 14-1 advantage across 17 meetings, and a model that projects six more goals for Rostov-Don than for Krasnodar.

Table position

Rostov-Don sit second after one match, with two points from a single victory. Krasnodar are tenth, having drawn their opening game and collected zero points.

Recent form

Krasnodar have won three of their last five matches, scoring 136 goals and conceding 146. Their most recent outing was a 23-32 defeat away to CSKA Moskva on 10 September. Rostov-Don have won two and lost three in the same period, with 155 goals for and 148 against. They beat Adyif 33-22 at home on 10 September but lost 37-38 to CSKA in the Supercup on 4 September. Both sides have been involved in high-scoring games.

Head-to-head

Rostov-Don have won all six encounters since December 2025. The most recent was a 30-24 win at Krasnodar on 22 March. Before that came a 35-19 victory for Rostov-Don at home on 16 March. The pattern is consistent: Rostov-Don score freely and Krasnodar struggle to contain them.

Model expectations

The model projects 25 goals for Krasnodar and 31 for Rostov-Don. The draw probability is 0%, both teams to score is 0%, and three or more goals is 0%. These figures align with the historical dominance shown in the head-to-head record.

Conditions breaking the conclusion

The prediction would not hold if Krasnodar maintain their recent attacking form and the model's expectation proves wrong. Krasnodar have scored 136 goals in five matches, averaging 27.2 per game. If they replicate that output and Rostov-Don's defence tightens, the six-goal gap disappears.

I see no grounds for Krasnodar to overturn the pattern. Six straight defeats, a 14-1 head-to-head record over 17 matches, and a model that expects six more goals than their opponents — the numbers point one way.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 12 Sep, 17:13
  • Краснодар (жен.) — 10. place, 0 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
  • Ростов-Дон (жен.) — 2. place, 2 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
  • Краснодар (жен.), last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Ростов-Дон (жен.), last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 17 games, Краснодар (жен.) — 1, 2 draws, Ростов-Дон (жен.) — 14

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Krasnodar Women WWLWL 3 wins · 2 losses
Rostov-Don Women LLWLW 2 wins · 3 losses

Head to head 17

1Krasnodar Women 2Draw 14Rostov-Don Women
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+