Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Krasnodar Women
Rostov-Don Women
Prediction for
Win: Rostov-Don Women
66%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 17
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 12 Sep, 17:13Rostov-Don are expected to win. The head-to-head record and model expectations point in one direction: six straight victories for the visitors since December 2025, a 14-1 advantage across 17 meetings, and a model that projects six more goals for Rostov-Don than for Krasnodar.
Table position
Rostov-Don sit second after one match, with two points from a single victory. Krasnodar are tenth, having drawn their opening game and collected zero points.
Recent form
Krasnodar have won three of their last five matches, scoring 136 goals and conceding 146. Their most recent outing was a 23-32 defeat away to CSKA Moskva on 10 September. Rostov-Don have won two and lost three in the same period, with 155 goals for and 148 against. They beat Adyif 33-22 at home on 10 September but lost 37-38 to CSKA in the Supercup on 4 September. Both sides have been involved in high-scoring games.
Head-to-head
Rostov-Don have won all six encounters since December 2025. The most recent was a 30-24 win at Krasnodar on 22 March. Before that came a 35-19 victory for Rostov-Don at home on 16 March. The pattern is consistent: Rostov-Don score freely and Krasnodar struggle to contain them.
Model expectations
The model projects 25 goals for Krasnodar and 31 for Rostov-Don. The draw probability is 0%, both teams to score is 0%, and three or more goals is 0%. These figures align with the historical dominance shown in the head-to-head record.
Conditions breaking the conclusion
The prediction would not hold if Krasnodar maintain their recent attacking form and the model's expectation proves wrong. Krasnodar have scored 136 goals in five matches, averaging 27.2 per game. If they replicate that output and Rostov-Don's defence tightens, the six-goal gap disappears.
I see no grounds for Krasnodar to overturn the pattern. Six straight defeats, a 14-1 head-to-head record over 17 matches, and a model that expects six more goals than their opponents — the numbers point one way.