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MT Melsungen vs Goppingen: match prediction on 2 September 2026

Bundesliga Rothenbach-Halle Kassel Miss Match page
MT Melsungen Goppingen

Prediction for

Win: Goppingen

60%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

40% 1
60% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 31 Aug, 18:02

Goppingen are tipped to win. The model projects their expected goals at 29.4 against MT Melsungen's 25.6, with the draw probability at 0%, pointing to a decisive result.

MT Melsungen started the season without a victory, drawing their opening match, while Goppingen took all three points from their debut. The standings show Goppingen in 1st place with 2 points and MT Melsungen in 14th with none. That gap matters less than the head-to-head record, though: MT Melsungen have won 7 of the last 8 meetings between these sides.

Recent form tells a different story. MT Melsungen went 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss in their last five matches, scoring 160 goals and conceding 131. Goppingen also won 3 of 5 but lost 2, with 160 goals scored and 149 conceded. The goalscoring rates are similar, but Goppingen's results have been less consistent.

The head-to-head dominance runs deep. MT Melsungen beat Goppingen 31:23 in February 2026 and 30:23 in February 2025. The only draw came in November 2025 at 26:26. Goppingen have not won in this fixture across eight attempts.

This prediction stops holding if MT Melsungen replicate their head-to-head dominance. They have beaten Goppingen seven times in eight matches, and the model's edge of 3.8 goals is not large enough to dismiss that record entirely. A win for Goppingen requires them to outperform their recent inconsistency and close the scoring gap.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 31 Aug, 18:02
  • МТ Мельзунген — 14. place, 0 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
  • Гоппинген — 7. place, 2 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
  • МТ Мельзунген, last 5 games: 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses
  • Гоппинген, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 8 games, МТ Мельзунген — 7, 1 draws, Гоппинген — 0

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

MT Melsungen WLWDW 3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss
Goppingen LWWLL 2 wins · 3 losses

Head to head 8

7MT Melsungen 1Draw 0Goppingen
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+