Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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MT Melsungen
Goppingen
Prediction for
Win: Goppingen
60%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 8
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 31 Aug, 18:02Goppingen are tipped to win. The model projects their expected goals at 29.4 against MT Melsungen's 25.6, with the draw probability at 0%, pointing to a decisive result.
MT Melsungen started the season without a victory, drawing their opening match, while Goppingen took all three points from their debut. The standings show Goppingen in 1st place with 2 points and MT Melsungen in 14th with none. That gap matters less than the head-to-head record, though: MT Melsungen have won 7 of the last 8 meetings between these sides.
Recent form tells a different story. MT Melsungen went 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss in their last five matches, scoring 160 goals and conceding 131. Goppingen also won 3 of 5 but lost 2, with 160 goals scored and 149 conceded. The goalscoring rates are similar, but Goppingen's results have been less consistent.
The head-to-head dominance runs deep. MT Melsungen beat Goppingen 31:23 in February 2026 and 30:23 in February 2025. The only draw came in November 2025 at 26:26. Goppingen have not won in this fixture across eight attempts.
This prediction stops holding if MT Melsungen replicate their head-to-head dominance. They have beaten Goppingen seven times in eight matches, and the model's edge of 3.8 goals is not large enough to dismiss that record entirely. A win for Goppingen requires them to outperform their recent inconsistency and close the scoring gap.