Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Podravka Women Cro
Prediction for
Win: Odense Women
79%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 11 Sep, 13:18The model backs a comfortable home win. This is a one-sided fixture on paper.
Odense's momentum
The Danish side have been in dominant form across their last five matches. They won four and drew one, scoring 168 goals while conceding 125. That average of 33.6 goals per game is considerable. Their most recent outing was a 29:20 home win over NFH Women on 9 September, and before that a 27:27 draw away to the same opponent in the Champions League on 6 September.
Podravka's struggles
Podravka's recent record tells a different story. In their last five matches they managed only two wins against three defeats, scoring 142 goals and conceding 141. Their most recent result was a 32:21 home win over Dalmatinka Ploče on 8 September, but prior to that they lost 23:26 at home to Györ in the Champions League on 5 September.
Champions League standings
After one matchday Odense sit fifth with one point from their single game, while Podravka occupy seventh place with zero points. The standings show Odense with a record of 0 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss, and Podravka with 0 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses. The table confirms Podravka trail.
What the model expects
Odense are projected to score 37 goals, Podravka 23.5. The model assigns a 0% probability to a draw, 0% to both teams scoring, and 0% for a draw or both teams to score.
When this conclusion breaks
A home victory for Odense stops making sense if Podravka find a way to contain the Danish attack for long periods. They would need to avoid conceding early, which has been a pattern in their recent matches against stronger opposition. If they can frustrate Odense and keep the score tight, the model's 0% draw probability becomes less reliable. Podravka would have to park the bus and come out in the final stages, but that is what they have struggled to do against top sides recently.
Outcome: Odense Women win. Confidence: 85%