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Plzeň U20
Karlovy Vary U20
Prediction for Plzeň U20 — Karlovy Vary U20
50%
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Pieno zvaigzdes vs Varenos: match prediction on 19 September 2026
Pieno zvaigzdes
Varenos
Prediction for
Win: Pieno zvaigzdes
67%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
67%
1
33%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 17 Sep, 12:08- Пиено Звигздес — 7. place, 0 points after 1 games (0 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- Пиено Звигздес, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Варенос, last 5 games: 0 wins, 5 losses
- Head-to-head: 6 games, Пиено Звигздес — 5, Варенос — 1
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Pieno zvaigzdes
LWLLW
2 wins · 3 losses
Varenos
LLLLL
5 losses
Head to head 6
5Pieno zvaigzdes
0Draw
1Varenos
- 31 JanPieno zvaigzdes — Varenos32:27
- 15 Nov 2025Varenos — Pieno zvaigzdes28:35
- 13 Sep 2025Pieno zvaigzdes — Varenos29:21
- 22 Feb 2025Pieno zvaigzdes — Varenos28:20
- 30 Nov 2024Varenos — Pieno zvaigzdes32:28
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 17 Sep, 12:08Pieno zvaigzdes win probability: 67%. The host side has won five of the last six meetings and Varenos have failed to take a point in their last five matches, a run that stretches back to March.
Pieno zvaigzdes have won one, drawn one and lost four in their last five outings, scoring 129 goals and conceding 151. Their most recent result was a 23:36 defeat away to Dragunas Klaipeda on 12 September. Varenos have lost their last five matches, failing to register a win, with 143 goals for and 174 against. Their last game was a 26:36 home loss to HC Sviesa on 22 April.
The most recent meeting ended 32:27 to Pieno zvaigzdes on 31 January. Varenos's solitary win came 32:28 at home on 30 November 2024. The pattern is consistent: Pieno zvaigzdes score more, Varenos concede more.
Standings offer no clarity
The table shows Varenos in fourth place with zero points from zero matches, while Pieno zvaigzdes sit sixth with zero points from one match after a draw. Standings are provisional; fixtures played differ. That makes the recent form and head-to-head record the only reliable indicators.
The model's expectation
The simulation projects 32 goals for Pieno zvaigzdes and 25.4 for Varenos. It assigns zero percent probability to a draw, zero percent to both teams scoring, and zero percent to a draw. Those figures reflect the gulf in quality that the last six meetings have demonstrated.