Volleyligaen Women
Farum Women
Aalborg Volley Women
Prediction for Farum Women — Aalborg Volley Women
70%
Read more
RK Drama vs PAOK: match prediction on 14 October 2026
RK Drama
PAOK
Prediction for
Win: PAOK
58%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
42%
1
58%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 12 Oct, 16:05- РК Драма — 3. place, 7 points after 5 games (3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses)
- ПАОК — 8. place, 4 points after 4 games (2 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
- РК Драма, last 5 games: 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses
- ПАОК, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 9 games, РК Драма — 2, 1 draws, ПАОК — 6
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
RK Drama
WWDWL
3 wins · 1 draw · 1 loss
PAOK
LWLWW
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 12
2RK Drama
2Draw
8PAOK
- 30 MarRK Drama — PAOK36:33
- 1 Dec 2025PAOK — RK Drama28:25
- 8 Feb 2025RK Drama — PAOK26:24
- 21 Dec 2024PAOK — RK Drama32:30
- 16 Oct 2024PAOK — RK Drama28:26
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 12 Oct, 16:05PAOK to win. The visitors have won six of the nine meetings since 2024 and the model puts their expected goals higher at 28.9 against 26.9 for the hosts. That advantage carries through despite RK Drama sitting three points clear in the table.
Home momentum
RK Drama have collected 10 points from their last five matches, winning three and drawing once. Their most recent outing ended 24:21 at home against Aris, and before that they shared points 28:28 away at Zafeirakis. The side has scored 146 goals in that span while conceding 137, which shows they can find the net but also leaves them vulnerable. Their only loss came 27:34 against AEK Athens HC at home, a result that suggests the high line can be punished.
PAOK's inconsistency
PAOK sit eighth with four points from four games, having won two and drawn twice without losing. Their last five fixtures show a sharper edge: three victories and two defeats, with 151 goals for and 112 against. They beat Zafeirakis 29:13 at home on 10 October, then lost 27:31 away at A.S.E. Douka. The 42:19 win over XANTH at home demonstrates their ceiling, but the away defeats to both AEK and Douka reveal they can struggle on the road.
Head-to-head reality
PAOK have dominated this fixture in recent years. Of nine meetings, they won six while RK Drama claimed two and one ended level. The most recent encounter went 36:33 to RK Drama on 30 March 2026, which stands as an outlier in a pattern that otherwise favours the visitors. Before that, PAOK won 28:25 at home in December 2025 and 26:24 at home in February 2025. The visitors have consistently found ways to edge these matches.
The model's view
The model expects PAOK to score 28.9 goals and RK Drama 26.9, with a 0% probability of a draw. Those figures suggest a narrow victory rather than a blowout. The expected goals are averages across many simulated versions of the match.
Where this breaks
A draw suits the visitors given how they manage games, and the model's 0% draw probability does not account for tactical conservatism. If PAOK decide to protect a lead rather than attack, the result shifts. The home side's recent 36:33 win shows they can produce a high-scoring performance when everything clicks.