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Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Prediction for
Win: Skanderborg AGF
65%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 5
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 11 Sep, 15:00Skanderborg AGF to win. The hosts sit fifth on six points after four matches, unbeaten with three victories and a draw, while Kolding languish eleventh on just three points from the same number of games. The two sides have met five times in recent years with Skanderborg taking three wins and Kolding two.
Skanderborg's recent run looks solid. They have won three of their last five matches, including a 42:38 victory over Skive at home on 5 September and a narrow 34:33 away win against Nordsjælland Håndbold on 2 September. Their only blemish in the league so far is that draw, and they have not lost a domestic game since August. The 28:39 Champions League defeat to Barcelona on 9 September was a different matter entirely, but that was against a European powerhouse. In the league, Skanderborg have been competitive, scoring 175 goals in five matches while conceding 178.
Kolding's form tells another story. They have two wins, one draw and two losses in their last five outings. The 32:32 draw with Nordsjælland Håndbold Håndbold at home on 6 September showed they can grind out results, but they have also lost 28:31 away to Ribe-Esbjerg and 31:34 away to Mors. Their only league win came 35:34 against Skive at home on 26 August. Kolding have scored 159 goals in five matches and conceded 161, a ratio that suggests they are not dominating games.
The head-to-head record over the past three seasons is mixed. Skanderborg won 34:30 away at Kolding in March 2025 and 33:31 at home in October 2024, but Kolding responded with 29:25 and 24:23 victories at Skanderborg's ground in April and February 2024. Across five matches, Skanderborg have won three and Kolding two, so there is no clear pattern of dominance for either side in this fixture.
The table positions matter more than the head-to-head in this case. Skanderborg sit fifth with six points from four matches, while Kolding are eleventh with three points. Skanderborg's attack has been more potent, averaging 35 goals per game over five matches compared to Kolding's 31.8.
This conclusion stops holding if Kolding produce something close to their best performance. They have shown they can compete, particularly in the 32:32 draw with Nordsjælland Håndbold Håndbold. If Kolding keep the game tight and exploit any defensive lapses, they could take points.