Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Onnereds vs Tyresö Handboll: match prediction on 30 August 2026
Onnereds
Tyresö Handboll
Prediction for
Win: Onnereds
56%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
56%
1
44%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 28 Aug, 17:28- Оннередс — 3. place, 4 points after 3 games (2 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- Тирё Хандболл — 2. place, 4 points after 3 games (2 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- Оннередс, last 5 games: 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses
- Тирё Хандболл, last 5 games: 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 1 games, Оннередс — 0, 1 draws, Тирё Хандболл — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Onnereds
WLLDL
1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses
Tyresö Handboll
WDWWD
3 wins · 2 draws
Head to head 2
1Onnereds
1Draw
0Tyresö Handboll
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Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 28 Aug, 17:28Onnereds win this match.
Both sides sit level on 4 points from 3 matches, each carrying 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses. Onnereds occupy 3rd place while Tyresö Handboll hold 2nd, but the gap is negligible. The recent head-to-head shows a 39:39 draw on 25.08.2026 and an Onnereds victory in 2022, so these teams know each other well. The home advantage tips the balance here, especially with the model projecting Onnereds at 34.9 expected goals against Tyresö's 32.0.
Onnereds' last 5 matches read 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses with 157 goals scored and 160 conceded. Their form is uneven but they have shown capacity to score freely. Tyresö Handboll's last 5 yield 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss, 169 goals for and 158 against. The away side looks slightly sharper on paper, but they will be visiting Onnereds' ground where the home team has already proven they can compete at this level.
The model's goal expectations place Onnereds ahead by nearly 3 goals. While the stated probability for a draw sits at 0%, the reality of two evenly matched teams meeting again suggests a tight contest. Onnereds' home record and the slight edge in expected goals combine to make them the safer pick.
Tyresö Handboll's recent form includes wins against IFK Ystads, Aranas, and Enkoping, with only one loss to HK Torslanda. They will need to be clinical on the counter and avoid mistakes. Onnereds lost 24:32 at home to IK Sävehof and 26:33 away to Alingsås HK, showing vulnerability against stronger opposition.
A red card or early injury to a key player would also change the dynamic entirely.