Varberg vs Tyresö Handboll: match prediction on 4 September 2026

Varberg take on Tyresö Handboll in the Swedish Cup, and the model points to a home victory at 30.1 to 27.8 goals. That outcome holds only if the hosts can replicate the scoring patterns that have periodically served them in this fixture. The model's figures are computed from goals scored and conceded across the season; they know nothing of injuries or of the fixture list.

Recent form

Varberg have won one and lost four in their last five matches, scoring 145 goals and conceding 150. Their most recent result was a 36-28 home victory over Kroppskultur in the Cup on 27 August, but before that came three straight defeats, including a 27-35 home loss to Helsingborg HK on 14 April. Tyresö Handboll sit on a better run: three wins, one draw, one loss in their last five, with 166 goals for and 160 against. Their latest Cup match ended 29-28 away to Onnereds on 30 August, after a 39-39 home draw two days earlier.

Head-to-head

Across eight meetings in recent years Varberg hold six wins, one draw and one defeat against Tyresö Handboll. Tyresö's sole victory in that span came 26-25 at home on 1 March 2025, while the 33-33 draw on 12 October 2024 at their own ground stands as the only stalemate.

Table position

Both sides have completed three Cup matches. Tyresö Handboll lead with four points from two wins and one draw, while Varberg sit third on two points from one win and two draws. Neither side has lost a Cup game so far. The standings suggest Tyresö have been more consistent in the competition, but Varberg's home advantage and historical dominance in the fixture give them the edge in this particular meeting.

Conditions

The model's prediction falls away if Varberg fail to convert their early pressure into goals. A draw suits the visitors — and given how they run the clock down in tight games, that is the main threat.