Volleyligaen Women
Farum Women
Aalborg Volley Women
Prediction for Farum Women — Aalborg Volley Women
70%
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Aktobe vs Beibarys Atyrau: match prediction on 12 October 2026
Aktobe
Beibarys Atyrau
Prediction for
Slight edge: Beibarys Atyrau
48%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
34%
1
18%
X
48%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 11 Oct, 15:05- Актобе — 9. place, 0 points after 16 games (2 wins, 14 losses)
- Бейбарыс Атырау — 8. place, 0 points after 16 games (3 wins, 13 losses)
- Актобе, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Бейбарыс Атырау, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Head-to-head: 26 games, Актобе — 9, Бейбарыс Атырау — 17
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Aktobe
LLLWW
2 wins · 3 losses
Beibarys Atyrau
LLLLW
1 win · 4 losses
Head to head 43
18Aktobe
0Draw
25Beibarys Atyrau
- 26 JanAktobe — Beibarys Atyrau5:6
- 25 JanAktobe — Beibarys Atyrau3:6
- 1 Dec 2025Aktobe — Beibarys Atyrau4:7
- 30 Nov 2025Aktobe — Beibarys Atyrau2:6
- 28 Oct 2025Beibarys Atyrau — Aktobe1:5
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 11 Oct, 15:05Beibarys Atyrau win, and the model places the draw at just 18 per cent.
The standings are as they are: Aktobe sit ninth after 16 matches with two wins and 14 losses, Beibarys Atyrau eighth with three wins and 13 losses. Both teams record zero points in the database, which tells us little about how the table works, but the gap in wins — one — is the only meaningful difference between them.
Recent form offers no comfort to Aktobe. Their last five games brought two victories and three defeats, but those wins came against Pavlodar away, 6:0 and 5:2, while Beibarys Atyrau fared worse: one win, four losses, 12 goals scored and 25 conceded. Their only victory was 5:3 against Almaty at home.
Head-to-head history speaks louder than either side's current run. Of six meetings since October 2025, Beibarys Atyrau won four and Aktobe two. The last four encounters all took place at Aktobe's venue, and Aktobe have not claimed a home victory here in that span.
The model expects 2.7 goals for Aktobe and 3.0 for Beibarys Atyrau. The probability of a draw sits at 18 per cent, both teams scoring is 89 per cent, and three or more goals in the match 92 per cent. The three most likely scorelines are 2:3 at six per cent, 2:2 at five per cent, and 3:3 at five per cent.
The analyst pick for Beibarys Atyrau carries 48 per cent confidence. That figure follows from the visitors' record at this venue and the model's scoring expectations. The conclusion stops holding if Aktobe improve defensively — the data shows they have conceded 18 goals in five games, so a significant reduction in that output would shift the balance.
Both sides are low in the table and have little to lose, which means neither will play cautiously, and the model's higher expected goals tally for them reinforces that edge.
Any other outcome would require Aktobe to break their recent pattern at home or for Beibarys Atyrau to underperform their 3.0 expected goals figure. Given the visitors' dominance in this specific matchup, that seems unlikely.