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Calgary Wranglers vs Bakersfield Condors: match prediction on 11 October 2026

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Calgary Wranglers Bakersfield Condors

Prediction for

Slight edge: Bakersfield Condors

48%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

36% 1
16% X
48% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 10 Oct, 20:05

Calgary Wranglers Beat Bakersfield Condors in Back-to-Back Victory

Calgary Wranglers beat Bakersfield Condors 2-1 on Sunday, completing a back-to-back victory over their rivals after meeting the previous day. Bakersfield, sitting seventh with one win and two losses, extended their poor run to four defeats in five games.

The scoreline matched the outcome of the first meeting on Saturday, where Calgary also won 2-1. Recent form supported the hosts: Calgary had won their last five matches without a draw, scoring 22 goals while conceding 12. Bakersfield had scored 13 and conceded 18 in their last five outings, with only one victory in that span.

Statistical models predicted a high-scoring affair, estimating 3.1 goals for Calgary and 3.5 for Bakersfield. The models suggested a 93 per cent probability that both teams would score and a 96 per cent chance of three or more goals in the match. The predicted most likely score was 3-3, yet the actual result deviated significantly from these projections.

Bakersfield’s away record remains difficult, having lost four of their last five matches played on the road. The two sides have played 28 times in recent years, with Calgary winning 17 encounters and Bakersfield 11.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 10 Oct, 20:05
  • Калгари Ренджерс — 1. place, 0 points after 3 games (3 wins, 0 losses)
  • Бейкерсфилд Кондорс — 5. place, 0 points after 3 games (1 wins, 2 losses)
  • Калгари Ренджерс, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
  • Бейкерсфилд Кондорс, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Head-to-head: 28 games, Калгари Ренджерс — 17, Бейкерсфилд Кондорс — 11

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Calgary Wranglers WWWLW 4 wins · 1 loss
Bakersfield Condors LLWLW 2 wins · 3 losses

Head to head 29

17Calgary Wranglers 0Draw 11Bakersfield Condors
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+