Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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CSKA Moscow vs Lokomotiv Yaroslavl: match prediction on 13 September 2026
CSKA Moscow
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
Prediction for
Win: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
43%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
36%
1
20%
X
43%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 11 Sep, 15:00- ЦСКА Москва — 4. place, 0 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 losses)
- Локомотив Ярославль — 1. place, 0 points after 3 games (3 wins, 0 losses)
- ЦСКА Москва, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Локомотив Ярославль, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 31 games, ЦСКА Москва — 12, Локомотив Ярославль — 19
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
CSKA Moscow
LWLWL
2 wins · 3 losses
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
LWWWW
4 wins · 1 loss
Head to head 49
25CSKA Moscow
0Draw
24Lokomotiv Yaroslavl
- 4 JanCSKA Moscow — Lokomotiv Yaroslavl1:2
- 18 Dec 2025Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — CSKA Moscow2:1
- 15 Oct 2025Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — CSKA Moscow4:1
- 19 Mar 2025CSKA Moscow — Lokomotiv Yaroslavl1:3
- 5 Jan 2025Lokomotiv Yaroslavl — CSKA Moscow4:1
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 11 Sep, 15:00Lokomotiv Yaroslavl are favourites to extend their perfect start when they visit CSKA Moscow on 13 September. Lokomotiv win, but that conclusion stops holding if CSKA can contain Lokomotiv's early pressure and keep the score level after the first period.
Lokomotiv have started the season without a defeat, winning all three matches. Their record of 14 goals for and 7 against shows both offensive power and defensive solidity. The latest victory came 10 September against Cherepovets 2:1 in overtime, extending their winning streak. Eighteen-year-old Matvey Kotkov scored on his KHL debut in a 5:1 win over Traktor Chelyabinsk on 5 September, adding fresh talent to an already strong squad.
They sit fourth or seventh after losing two of three games. Coach Nikitin publicly criticised his team following the 2:4 home defeat to Admiral Vladivostok on 11 September, citing self-satisfaction and repeated errors. The Moscow side are without Dmitry Barinov, who underwent knee surgery in Munich on 11 September. Their home record in the last five matches shows two wins and three losses with 12 goals scored and 13 conceded.
Head-to-head history favours Lokomotiv. In the last six meetings Lokomotiv have won four times to CSKA's two. The most recent encounter on 4 January ended 1:2 at the CSKA arena. Looking further back at the last 31 matches overall, Lokomotiv hold 19 victories against CSKA's 12.
Lokomotiv are projected to win 2-1. Both teams to score carries a 76% probability, while three or more goals total stands at 78%. The most likely scorelines are 1:2, 2:2 and 1:1, each at 7%. A draw probability sits at just 20%. Lokomotiv's superior form and CSKA's defensive vulnerabilities suggest the visitors will find the net more often.
This hinges on CSKA keeping shape and not conceding early. Lokomotiv have shown they can break down teams, but if CSKA can frustrate them and keep it tight, the visitors might leave with a point rather than three points.
Outcome: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl win
Confidence: 65%