Gyergyoi vs Fenestela: match prediction on 12 September 2026

Gyergyoi to win. The home side has not lost in nine matches across all competitions, while Fenestela have dropped points in two of their last five outings. The model projects a high-scoring fixture, averaging 4.5 goals per game, with the most likely scoreline 4:1 at 7% probability.

Gyergyoi have won five straight, scoring 26 and conceding 10. Their last three Cupa României fixtures produced victories of 5:2, 5:3 and 5:2 against Steaua Bucuresti, Csikszereda and Sapientia U23 respectively. Before that they beat Brasov 4:3 away and 7:0 at home in the Erste Liga. They sit top of the Romanian Cup table after three matches with three wins and no losses.

Fenestela have won three and lost two in their last five games, scoring 41 goals but also conceding 15. Their Cupa României record includes a 23:2 home win over Sportul Studentesc and a 9:0 victory against CSM Galati, but they lost 3:5 away to Brasov on 6 September. Their only defeat in the league phase came 1:6 at Brasov on 6 March. They occupy second place in the Cup standings behind Gyergyoi.

Gyergyoi lead the recent head-to-head 13 wins to 8, winning the last three encounters 7-1, 6-1 and 5-1. Fenestela's last win in the fixture came 3:2 at home in December 2025.

Statistical models favour a home win, pricing the draw at 8% and both teams scoring at 73%, with 93% probability of three or more goals total. The prediction holds only if Fenestela can replicate their 23:2 performance and find the net early. A slow start for Gyergyoi or a red card for the home side would change the dynamics entirely.