Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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HC Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk
Prediction for
Win: HC Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk
70%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 16
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 4 Sep, 13:05HC Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk to win against AKM, confidence 65%.
The model projects HC Yugra to score 3.2 goals and AKM 1.5, with a 75% chance both sides find the net. Three or more goals materialise in 84% of simulations. The most probable scoreline sits at 3:1, followed by 2:1 at identical 7% probability.
HC Yugra have won four of their last five matches, conceding just four goals across that run. They beat Ryazan 2:1 on 4 September before falling 0:2 to Metallurg Novokuznetsk two days earlier. Three previous victories came against Khimik, including a 4:0 home shutout and two away wins. They sit seventh after two matches, holding one win and one defeat.
AKM's recent record shows three wins and one loss in five games, but four of those encounters were club friendlies. They beat Kulager 6:1 and Aktobe 8:1 at home in August, then lost 3:4 away to Orsk. A 2:1 victory over Dinamo St. Petersburg rounded out their friendly slate. Their sole VHL appearance was a 0:0 draw with Ryazan on 18 March. They sit 28th after one match, a 0:0 draw.
Head-to-head history favours AKM with nine wins from 14 meetings compared to five for HC Yugra. The most recent clash on 13 December 2025 ended 4:3 to the hosts, continuing a trend of high-scoring encounters.
If AKM can absorb pressure and exploit transitions, the model's expectation of a home victory loses its foundation. The 15% draw probability already accounts for this scenario, but a tactical shift to defensive play would tilt the balance further.