Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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HS Riga vs Kyiv Capitals: match prediction on 11 September 2026
HS Riga
Kyiv Capitals
Prediction for
Win: Kyiv Capitals
72%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
16%
1
12%
X
72%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 9 Sep, 17:01- ХС Рига — 2. place, 0 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
- ХС Рига, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Киев Капиталс, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Head-to-head: 5 games, ХС Рига — 2, Киев Капиталс — 3
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
HS Riga
WLWLL
2 wins · 3 losses
Kyiv Capitals
LLWLW
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 5
2HS Riga
0Draw
3Kyiv Capitals
- 26 FebHS Riga — Kyiv Capitals6:5
- 17 JanHS Riga — Kyiv Capitals3:1
- 29 Nov 2025Kyiv Capitals — HS Riga4:1
- 11 Nov 2025Kyiv Capitals — HS Riga4:2
- 18 Oct 2025HS Riga — Kyiv Capitals2:7
Bookmaker market
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 9 Sep, 17:01HS Riga host Kyiv Capitals in a fixture where the figures show 4.5 goals for the visitors against 2.4 for the hosts, with a 90% chance both teams find the net. That spread matters more than the form table at this stage.
HS Riga have played two league matches this season, winning one and losing one, sitting fourth in the standings. They scored 16 goals and conceded 16, so the attack and defence have been roughly balanced. The most recent result was a 1:4 away defeat to Mogo on 9 September, which they'll want to forget.
Kyiv Capitals haven't played a league match yet this season — zero games in the table. Their last five results contain one win and four losses, with 14 goals scored and 26 conceded. The single victory came 4:2 against Torun in a friendly on 4 September, while the losses include a 0:4 defeat to the same side five days later and heavy defeats to Dundee and Fife. Their only league game on record was a 2:8 home loss to Mogo on 3 April.
The head-to-head record over five matches gives HS Riga two wins and Kyiv Capitals three. The most recent meeting ended 6:5 to HS Riga on 26 February, with a 3:1 home victory for Riga on 17 January. The visitors have the edge in this fixture historically.
A draw is priced at 12%, with a 97% probability of three or more goals and three likely scorelines: 2:4 at 5%, 2:5 at 4%, and 2:3 at 4%. Both teams to score sits at 90%. The confidence in a Kyiv Capitals victory is 72%.