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HV71 Women vs Djurgården W: match prediction on 16 October 2026

SDHL Women Husqvarna Garden Jönköping Miss Match page
HV71 Women Djurgården W

Prediction for

Win: Djurgården W

54%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

28% 1
18% X
54% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 15 Oct, 17:05

Djurgården W to win. The visitors have won 11 of 15 meetings across recent years and the model puts their expected goals at 2.9 against HV71's 2.2, a gap that carries through to the most likely scorelines. Despite Djurgården's 6-0 victory away here last month, that result sits in a season where they have otherwise controlled the fixture.

Djurgården have not lost to HV71 at home since December 2024, and they have won four of the last five meetings between the sides. HV71 have won two of their last five meetings, while Djurgården have won four.

HV71 have won two of their last five games, losing three. Their most recent result was a 2:1 away victory against Linköping HC, but before that came defeats to Luleå HF Women at home and Färjestad away. Djurgården have won three of five, with their last two results being a 3:0 home win over Skellefteå AIK and a 5:2 away victory at MODO Hockey. Both sides are scoring freely, but Djurgården's attack has been more consistent across the five-match window.

Eighty-four percent of simulated matches see both teams score, and 88% produce three or more goals. The three most likely scorelines are 2:2, 2:3, and 1:2 — each at 6%. A draw carries a 19% probability, which is lower than either team's chance of winning. The goal expectations reflect the attacking output of both sides over the season.

If the game stays tight through the opening period and Djurgården control possession without creating clear chances, the result could shift to a stalemate. That outcome becomes more likely if HV71's goalkeeper produces a match-defining save in the first 20 minutes.

HV71 sit third after six matches with three wins and three losses. Djurgården are fourth after five matches with the same record. Both teams have zero points under the SHL overtime system. HV71 have played one more game, but the point gap remains level. The fixture is effectively a direct contest for positioning.

The model gives Djurgården a 62% probability of winning. The 6-0 result last month does not rewrite the broader pattern.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 15 Oct, 17:05
  • HV71 Женщины — 3. place, 0 points after 6 games (3 wins, 3 losses)
  • Дюргорден W — 4. place, 0 points after 5 games (3 wins, 2 losses)
  • HV71 Женщины, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Дюргорден W, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 15 games, HV71 Женщины — 4, Дюргорден W — 11

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

HV71 Women LWLWW 3 wins · 2 losses
Djurgården W LLWWL 2 wins · 3 losses

Head to head 16

4HV71 Women 0Draw 12Djurgården W
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+