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Jastrzebie
Krakow
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 34
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 7 Sep, 16:03Jastrzebie are the clear favourites for this friendly on 9 September, and I see no reason to doubt that. They have won four of the last six meetings, including a 5:2 victory over Krakow just five days ago. Their recent form is stronger as well — two wins in their last five matches compared with Krakow's single win — and they have been far more productive in front of goal, scoring 12 goals to Krakow's 8.
That recent friendly on 4 September tells the story. Jastrzebie travelled to Krakow and ran away with it, but the result was not an anomaly. They have also won at home in this fixture — 5:3 in January and 5:0 in October — while Krakow managed only one victory in that span, a 4:1 home win in January. The pattern is consistent: Jastrzębie tend to score more, and Krakow concede freely.
Look at the numbers from their last five matches and the picture sharpens. Jastrzebie have scored 12 goals in 5 games, averaging 2.4 per match. Krakow have managed just 8 goals in the same period, 1.6 per game, while letting in 17 — nearly four per match. Even excluding the heavy defeats, Krakow's defensive record is fragile. They lost 1:3 away to Spisska Nova Ves, 1:5 away to Liptovský Mikuláš, and 1:2 away to Vsetín in their last three outings.
There are no team news updates available, no injury reports, no suspension lists — nothing to alter the assessment. The absence of information does not change the facts on the pitch. Jastrzebie have been the stronger side in every metric that matters: goals scored, goals conceded, and results in direct encounters.
A draw would suit Krakow, and given how they might run the clock down in a friendly, that is the main threat to my conclusion. If they sit deep and frustrate Jastrzebie, the match could end level. But that requires a level of discipline Krakow have not shown in recent away games, where they have conceded 15 goals in four matches.
I propose Jastrzebie win. That conclusion stops holding if Krakow adopt a defensive approach and manage to frustrate Jastrzębie into a draw — a scenario that would require a significant shift from their recent performances.