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Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Lokomotiv Orsha
Yunost Minsk
Prediction for
Win: Yunost Minsk
67%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 34
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 7 Sep, 16:43Yunost Minsk are the clear favourites for this Extraliga encounter. The visitors have won every one of the last six meetings between these sides, and the expected-goals figures support that dominance at 3.3 to 1.8.
Lokomotiv Orsha have struggled for consistency this season. In their last five matches they managed just one victory, conceding 16 goals while scoring eight. Their most recent outing ended 0:3 at home against Mogilev, and they have lost four of their past five fixtures across all competitions.
Yunost Minsk have been more effective in attack but equally vulnerable at the back. Two wins from their last five games brought 11 goals, though they also conceded 15. Their most recent result was a 2:3 home defeat to Soligorsk, but they have shown they can find the net against stronger opposition.
Lokomotiv Orsha have won only four of 21 meetings in recent years, while Yunost Minsk have claimed 17 victories.
The model projects 81% probability that both teams score and 89% that there will be three or more goals. The most likely scorelines are 1:3, 2:3 and 1:2.