London Knights vs Owen Sound Attack: match prediction on 26 September 2026

London Knights are the clear favourites against Owen Sound Attack, and the 73% confidence in a home win rests on their 3-1 record in the last four meetings and current form.

The Knights sit top of the OHL table after two victories from two matches, while Owen Sound have one win and one defeat. That gap has widened considerably over the past five games: London have won three and lost two, while Owen Sound have managed just a single victory in five outings. The contrast is stark in goal difference — London have scored 15 and conceded 18 in that span, Owen Sound 4 and 31. Their most recent outings against fellow OHL sides show the pattern: London split a doubleheader with Windsor Spitfires, winning 6-2 away and 3-2 at home, while Owen Sound lost 4-1 at home to Kitchener Rangers after edging 1-0 away from home in the reverse fixture.

The history runs one way

London Knights have won five of the last six meetings between these sides, losing only once. The most recent encounter on 16 February 2026 ended 6-2 to the hosts. Before that, London won 5-4 at Owen Sound on 17 January, then 5-4 away on 18 December. Three of the last four visits to Owen Sound have ended in victory for London, with the sole exception being a 3-2 win for Owen Sound on 19 September 2025.

The model expects London Knights to score 4.5 goals and Owen Sound 2.6. The probability of a draw sits at 13%, while both teams scoring is projected at 92%. Three or more goals are expected in 97% of simulated matches. The most likely scorelines are 4-2 to London at 5%, followed by 5-2 and 3-2, each at 4%. These figures are based on offensive output and defensive vulnerabilities evident in recent performances.