Volleyligaen Women
Farum Women
Aalborg Volley Women
Prediction for Farum Women — Aalborg Volley Women
70%
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Luleå HF Women vs Frölunda W: match prediction on 16 October 2026
Luleå HF Women
Frölunda W
Prediction for
Slight edge: Luleå HF Women
42%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
42%
1
19%
X
39%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 15 Oct, 17:05- Люлео ХФ (жен.) — 2. place, 0 points after 6 games (4 wins, 2 losses)
- Фрёлунда W — 8. place, 0 points after 5 games (2 wins, 3 losses)
- Люлео ХФ (жен.), last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Фрёлунда W, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 18 games, Люлео ХФ (жен.) — 9, Фрёлунда W — 9
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Luleå HF Women
LWWWL
3 wins · 2 losses
Frölunda W
LLLWW
2 wins · 3 losses
Head to head 18
9Luleå HF Women
0Draw
9Frölunda W
- 15 JanFrölunda W — Luleå HF Women3:0
- 22 Nov 2025Luleå HF Women — Frölunda W4:3
- 12 Oct 2025Frölunda W — Luleå HF Women3:1
- 5 Sep 2025Luleå HF Women — Frölunda W1:2
- 16 Mar 2025Frölunda W — Luleå HF Women3:2
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 15 Oct, 17:05Luleå HF Women to win. The hosts carry momentum and home advantage into a fixture where the gap in league position tells the real story. Luleå sit second after six matches with four victories, while Frölunda languish in eighth place after five games and two wins.
The hosts have been hard to beat recently. Four wins in their last five outings, conceding as many goals as they scored. The 4:3 victory at home against Färjestad on 14 October and the 2:1 win away from home two days earlier show they can grind out results even when games open up. The only blemish was the 1:5 home defeat to Brynäs on 26 September, but that came before their current run.
Frölunda W are in a different rhythm entirely. Two wins and three losses in their last five games, scoring 10 goals and conceding 11. The 4:0 away victory at Färjestad on 9 October stands out, but it was followed by three straight defeats. They lost 0:2 at home to SDE, then 1:4 away at MODO, and before that a 0:3 home loss to Brynäs. They are running out of games in the season and need points urgently, but the results are not coming.
The head-to-head record is evenly matched. Across 18 meetings, each side has won nine times. The most recent encounter went to Frölunda 3:0 at home on 15 January 2026, but before that Luleå won 4:3 at home on 22 November 2025. This is a fixture where neither side dominates, but Luleå's current form gives them the edge.
The model expects a high-scoring game. Both teams to score sits at 82%, and three or more goals at 84%. The most likely scoreline is 2:2 at 7%, followed by 2:1 and 1:2 both at 6%. These figures suggest a tight contest with chances at both ends. Luleå's attacking output in recent matches—12 goals in five games—aligns with the model's expectation. Frölunda have scored 10 in their last five as well, so the BTTS probability makes sense. Luleå's home record this season, combined with their superior league position and recent form, tips the balance.