Peterborough Petes vs North Bay Battalion: match prediction on 16 October 2026

North Bay Battalion to win (63%). The visitors have won four of the last six meetings and took the most recent encounter 3:1 away from home. The model expects Peterborough to score 3.3 goals and North Bay 3.1, but North Bay's superior table position and head-to-head record tilt the balance. This conclusion stops holding if Peterborough's home advantage proves decisive and they edge a tight game 3:2 or 4:3.

North Bay Battalion have won four of the last six meetings between these sides. The most recent fixture on 12 October saw them take a 3:1 victory away at Peterborough.

North Bay Battalion sit third after nine matches with four wins and five losses. Peterborough Petes are fifth after ten games with three wins and seven losses. Both sides have played five matches recently and gone 2-3 in each case. Peterborough have scored 13 goals and conceded 16 in their last five outings. North Bay have also scored 13 goals but let in 17.

The model projects 3.3 expected goals for Peterborough and 3.1 for North Bay. A draw is estimated at 17%, while both teams to score comes in at 92%. The likelihood of three or more goals is 95%. The three most probable scorelines are 3:3 at 5%, 3:2 at 5%, and 2:3 at 5%.

A draw suits Peterborough—given how they have defended at home, that is the main threat to the prediction. If the match goes to 2:2 or 3:3, the away win falls away. An early goal for Peterborough could also change the dynamic, forcing North Bay to open up and potentially handing the hosts momentum. The prediction rests on North Bay maintaining their recent superiority; a single poor performance from the visitors would invalidate it.