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Pyry Nokian vs KeuPa: match preview on 3 September 2026

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Pyry Nokian KeuPa

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 1 Sep, 16:34

Pyry Nokian win. They are the stronger side on paper and in practice, and the gap opened up two days ago when they took a 3:1 victory away from KeuPa. The visitors have lost four of their last five matches, while Pyry have won three, and that momentum carries into this friendly on 3 September.

Pyry Nokian have collected 9 points from their last five matches, scoring 16 goals and conceding 11. They beat KeuPa 3:1 on 1 September, TUTO Hockey 5:2 away on 26 August, and K-Vantaa 6:3 at home on 20 August. The only blemish was a 2:5 defeat away to K-Vantaa on 18 August. KeuPa sit on just 3 points from five games, with 13 goals for and 21 against. Their sole victory came in the Mestis against Jarvenpaa 6:2 on 7 April. Since then they have lost at home to Pyry Nokian 1:3, to TUTO Hockey 3:8, away to TUTO Hockey 1:3, and at home to IPK 2:5.

The two teams met on 1 September at KeuPa's venue, and Pyry took all three points with a 3:1 win. That result came after a series of Mestis meetings earlier in the year. The most recent encounter before this friendly was a 0:0 draw away for Pyry on 18 March. The pattern since March shows Pyry edging the majority of encounters.

A Pyry victory stops being the likely outcome if KeuPa find their shooting boots early and exploit the space behind Pyry's defence. The visitors have shown they can score freely in the Mestis — the 6:2 win over Jarvenpaa proves that — and a friendly gives them freedom to attack without worrying about league position. If they take an early lead, Pyry will have to come out and open up, which creates opportunities at the other end.

Confidence is placed at 65% on Pyry Nokian. The form differential is clear, and the match two days ago demonstrated Pyry could score three against KeuPa's defence while limiting them to one. That result was not a fluke — Pyry also won 5:2 away to TUTO Hockey in the same window, showing they can find the net consistently. The confidence holds as long as Pyry maintain their attacking sharpness and KeuPa do not discover a new rhythm in the opening fifteen minutes.

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Pyry Nokian WWWWL 4 wins · 1 loss
KeuPa LLLLL 5 losses

Head to head 16

7Pyry Nokian 0Draw 8KeuPa
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+