Volleyligaen Women
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Prediction for Farum Women — Aalborg Volley Women
70%
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Sakhalin W vs Beliye Medvedi W: match prediction on 16 October 2026
Sakhalin W
Beliye Medvedi W
Prediction for
Win: Sakhalin W
71%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
71%
1
15%
X
14%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 15 Oct, 08:45- Белые Медведи W — 6. place, 0 points after 3 games (0 wins, 3 losses)
- Сахалин W, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Белые Медведи W, last 5 games: 0 wins, 5 losses
- Head-to-head: 6 games, Сахалин W — 6, Белые Медведи W — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Sakhalin W
WLWLW
3 wins · 2 losses
Beliye Medvedi W
LLLLL
5 losses
Head to head 6
6Sakhalin W
0Draw
0Beliye Medvedi W
- 15 JanSakhalin W — Beliye Medvedi W4:1
- 14 JanSakhalin W — Beliye Medvedi W4:1
- 12 JanSakhalin W — Beliye Medvedi W4:2
- 7 Dec 2025Beliye Medvedi W — Sakhalin W2:3
- 6 Dec 2025Beliye Medvedi W — Sakhalin W1:3
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 15 Oct, 08:45Sakhalin W to win
Sakhalin W are the clear favourites for this WHL Women fixture. The data points in one direction: a perfect head-to-head record, an away side in freefall, and a model that projects a multi-goal margin. Confidence in this outcome is high, though that figure drops if Beliye Medvedi W find a way to keep the game tight.
Sakhalin W have shown flashes of competence without consistency. In their last five matches they secured two wins against two defeats, netting 9 goals while conceding 10. Those results include a 3:2 victory away at Dynamo Neva W on 9 March and a home win the following day, 3:2. They also drew 0:0 in their most recent outing on 17 March.
Beliye Medvedi W are struggling in every sense. They have lost all five of their last matches, scoring 7 goals and conceding 24. Their most recent results were heavy defeats on the road: 1:4, 1:5 and 2:6 against Tornado Minsk Women in October. Even at home on 12 March they managed only 2:4. They sit sixth in the table with zero points from three games and no sign of improvement.
The head-to-head record is stark. Sakhalin W have won all six meetings between the sides. The most recent results were 4:1 at home on 15 January and 4:1 again on 14 January. Sakhalin W have scored 23 goals in those six encounters while Beliye Medvedi W have managed just 14.
The model projects Sakhalin W to score 3.7 expected goals and Beliye Medvedi W to score 1.7. The probability of a draw stands at 13%, while both teams to score sits at 80% and 3 or more goals at 91%. The three most likely scorelines are 3:1, 4:1 and 3:2, each at 6%. These figures suggest a comfortable home victory with goals at both ends.
A draw would break this prediction. Beliye Medvedi W have not won in five matches, but they have scored in every one of those games. If they can contain Sakhalin W for sustained periods and exploit any defensive lapses, a stalemate becomes possible. The 13% draw probability is low, but not zero. Sakhalin W's own inconsistency means they are not invulnerable.